Predicts.guruPredicts.guru
SI

Simmer.Markets

Polymarket rank #59AI / AgentsFirst fill 2026-04-28Data through 2026-09-14@simmer_markets

Open Simmer.Markets

Simmer.Markets, branded Simmer, is a harness that lets AI agents in Claude Code, Codex or similar coding agents trade Polymarket, Kalshi and Hyperliquid on your behalf inside hard dollar and trade caps you set. It suits traders willing to let an agent execute strategy, and hinges on trusting the caps and the skill installed.

Assessment written 2026-09-13. Every figure in it is live.

Volume, last 7 days
$10K

-14.3% against the prior seven days.

Traders per day
13

Mean distinct attributed traders per day over the last week.

Fills, last 7 days
581

All-time average fill $26.

At a glance

Every figure a comparison needs, in one block.

Rank
#59By all-time attributed volume
Category
AI / Agents
Volume, all time
$8.5M
Volume, last 7 days
$10K-14.3% against the prior week
Fee as published
The builder's own stated rate
Average fill
$26
Traders per day
13Mean over the last week
Wallets, last 30 days
40
Buy side
88.5%
First fill
2026-04-28140 days with activity
Fills, all time
40.2K

Volume and rank come from Polymarket's builder leaderboard; fees, fills, and sides from indexed CLOB V2 activity through 2026-09-14.

Daily activity

Attributed volumeActive traders

What it is

Simmer.Markets, which brands itself simply as Simmer, is a harness for AI agents rather than an app a person clicks through by hand. It runs inside coding agents such as Claude Code, Codex, OpenClaw, Grok CLI and Hermes Agent, and works by installing a trading skill the agent then executes on its own, routing fills to Polymarket, Kalshi and Hyperliquid.

The product centers on a marketplace of remixable skills, from momentum scalpers to weather and copy-trading strategies, each listing its own settled result. A trader can also describe a strategy in a sentence and let the skill builder generate the market selection, entry, exit and sizing as a runnable folder. Its Telegram presence is a group chat for early users, not a bot that trades on command.

How it works

Connecting starts outside Polymarket's own interface: a trader installs Simmer's skill runtime into a coding agent, Claude Code, Codex, OpenClaw, Grok CLI or Hermes Agent, with a single terminal command, then installs or writes a trading skill from the marketplace. Every skill starts against play money, and only moves to real markets once the trader links a wallet.

Once live, the agent evaluates its skill's logic and places its own trades, with per-trade and per-day dollar caps, a trade-count cap and a stop-loss the agent cannot override. Orders route to Polymarket, Kalshi or Hyperliquid depending on the skill, under Simmer's builder code, and each fill is logged with the reasoning the agent gave for taking it.

Custody stays with the trader: the signing key never leaves the agent, so Simmer itself is not shown holding funds in escrow. What it does hold is the skill logic, the guardrail settings and, for subscribers, the Autoresearch and signal feeds the agent draws on to decide what to trade next.

What it does

  • Hard trading caps

    Per-trade and per-day dollar limits, a trade-count ceiling and a stop-loss cap the agent's exposure and cannot be raised by the agent itself.

  • Natural-language skill builder

    Describe a strategy in a sentence and the skill builder hands back a runnable script covering market selection, entry, exit and position sizing.

  • Public reasoning log

    Every trade an agent takes gets logged with the reasoning behind it, so a trader can review after the fact why a fill happened.

  • Autoresearch holdout testing

    Continuous experiments run over an agent's own trade history, and a strategy only counts as a win once it survives a holdout the experiment never saw.

  • Whale and copy signals

    Whale trades and copy-trade signals reach the agent already filtered to the markets its skill trades, rather than a raw, unfiltered feed.

Who it is for

Coding-agent power users
Traders already running Claude Code or Codex for other work can bolt on a trading skill without leaving that environment.
Strategy builders without code skills
A trader can describe an edge in plain language and receive a bounded, dry-run-by-default script instead of writing the logic themselves.
Weather and crypto scalpers
Average fills here run in dollar sizes, which fits traders testing narrow strategies like weather buckets or minute-candle momentum rather than desk-sized positions.
Skill authors seeking royalties
Building a popular skill others install turns a strategy into a shared asset, since the marketplace credits the original author when it gets remixed.
Traders wary of manual execution
Handing entries and exits to a capped agent suits someone who trusts a tested skill more than their own reaction time during fast markets.

What it costs

Simmer.Markets publishes no fee schedule of its own, on its site or in its Telegram group. What a trader pays instead comes from two layers: Polymarket's own per-market trading fee, which is identical for every builder and not something Simmer sets, and whatever the skill itself charges, such as an Autoresearch or signal subscription. Before funding a wallet, check the specific skill's pricing page or its own SKILL.md rather than assuming Simmer sets a rate itself, since none of the evidence shows one.

Strengths

  • Trades are capped by hard per-trade and per-day dollar limits the agent itself cannot raise, which bounds the damage from a bad skill.
  • New skills start on play money, so a strategy gets a dry run before any real wallet is linked.
  • The signing key never leaves the agent, keeping custody of funds with the trader rather than with Simmer.
  • Every trade carries a logged reason, giving a trader something concrete to audit when a skill underperforms.
  • A marketplace of remixable skills, from weather trading to copy-trading, lets a trader start from a working strategy instead of writing one from scratch.

Limitations

  • Simmer publishes no fee schedule, so a trader has to chase down what any given skill actually charges before committing money.
  • Handing execution to an agent means a trader is trusting a skill's logic and its author's judgment as much as the platform itself.
  • Reaching Simmer requires comfort installing packages and running a coding agent, which rules out anyone who only wants a web dashboard or mobile app.
  • PRO features like Autoresearch and the whale-signal feed sit behind a tier the operator's own page does not price.

Custody and transparency

Custody stays with the trader: Simmer's own material says the signing key never leaves the agent, and funds only move once a wallet is linked and only inside the per-trade and per-day caps set beforehand. Transparency runs through the logged reasoning attached to each trade, which lets a trader check a skill's decision after the fact. The operational exposure is different from a typical builder: risk sits in the skill's code and in whether the agent's guardrails hold under a runtime the trader does not fully control, more than in Simmer holding assets itself.

Verdict

Simmer.Markets fits a narrow but real audience: traders who already run a coding agent day to day and would rather hand it a bounded strategy than watch charts themselves. The guardrails, the play-money warmup and the logged reasoning behind every trade give a real check on an autonomous agent before it touches a live wallet. It is a poor fit for anyone who wants a conventional terminal or app, or who is not willing to read a skill's logic before trusting it with capped but real money. Traders skeptical of automated execution, or unwilling to install a coding-agent toolchain, should look elsewhere.

Score100% of the weighting has data
2.4out of 5
  • Traction35% weight

    attributed volume over the last seven complete days

  • Reach30% weight

    13 distinct traders per day

  • Track record20% weight

    routing since 2026-04-28

  • Transparency15% weight

    verified profile, no published fee, public site

Open Simmer.Markets and see it yourself

simmer.markets

Open Simmer.Markets

Questions

  • What is Simmer.Markets?

    Simmer.Markets, branded Simmer, is a harness that lets AI agents running in Claude Code, Codex and similar coding tools trade Polymarket, Kalshi and Hyperliquid under installed trading skills rather than manual clicks.

  • Is Simmer.Markets safe to connect a wallet to?

    New skills run on play money first, real trades only start once a wallet is linked, and the signing key never leaves the agent, but a bad skill can still lose money inside its caps.

  • What does Simmer.Markets cost to use?

    Simmer publishes no fee schedule of its own; a trader pays Polymarket's standard per-market trading fee plus whatever the specific installed skill or its PRO tier charges.

  • Does Simmer.Markets hold trader funds?

    No custody is shown in the evidence: the operator states the signing key never leaves the agent, and a wallet only connects once a trader chooses to move past play money.

  • How does the Simmer.Markets skill builder work?

    A trader describes a strategy in a sentence, and the builder returns a runnable script with bounded market selection, entry, exit and sizing logic, defaulting to a dry run before it trades live.

  • Is the Simmer Telegram group an official trading bot?

    No, the Telegram link is a group chat for early users, not a bot; trades come from skills running inside a trader's own coding agent, not from anything triggered in Telegram.

  • What are alternatives to Simmer.Markets for automated Polymarket trading?

    Traders who want automation without running a coding agent should compare #59 and volume against other Polymarket builders on this site before picking one that fits their setup and risk tolerance.

Most traded markets

Attributed volume over the last 30 days.

  • 1Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 29?$11K
  • 2Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 29?$10K
  • 3Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?$10K
  • 4Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 29?$9K
  • 5Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 29?$8K
  • 6Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 29?$7K
  • 7Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 29?$7K
  • 8Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 29?$6K
  • 9Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on August 29?$5K
  • 10Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on August 29?$5K

Category mix

Where this builder's flow goes, last 30 days.

  • weather$138K
  • up-or-down$14K
  • sports$4K
  • Politics$2K
  • gta-vi$1K
  • esports$1K
  • crypto$1K
  • Iran$369
  • tennis$346

Alternatives

The other AI / Agents builders a trader would choose between, on the same measurements.

All 28 in this category
BuilderAll time
SISimmer.MarketsThis one
$8.5M
$56.3M
$9M
$6.7M
$2.5M

Traders routing through this builder

40 wallets traded through this builder in the last 30 days, ranked by realized P&L.

P&L is each wallet's global Polymarket result, not profit attributable to this builder. The builder only determines which wallets are listed.

#WalletRealized P&L 30dRouted volume
10x5419…53e3$112$5K
20x1c04…01f2$21$1K
30x2f2a…929b$19$340
40x0085…b322$15$1K
50x16db…92d8$5$289
60x1043…b462$2$101
70xfa69…93dd$1$2K
80x1b41…14f6$0$254
90x1dcc…cf6e$0$391
100x24a9…8df1$0$75
110x2f2b…7adb$0$6
120x4cf9…efbf$0$18
130x6471…f180$0$7
140x65b5…0124$0$1K
150xaf4d…d953$0$9
160xc700…1736$0$38
170xfdf6…490a-$2$93
180x4f56…6c27-$3$27
190x8f20…136a-$3$229
200xe68a…b402-$4$3K
210xb608…85fb-$5$107K
220x5ac2…c634-$6$183
230x3da6…9484-$7$105
240x8cff…3e06-$7$345
250x2d58…8a92-$7$981

How these numbers are measured

Polymarket reports $8.5M of all-time volume for Simmer.Markets, including attribution from before onchain V2. The indexed figure used for fees, fill sizes, and buy/sell split is $1M, counted as outcome-share par notional on CLOB V2 only, so the two totals differ by design.

88.5% of attributed volume is buy-side, which indicates whether the venue is used mainly to open positions or to exit them.

The written assessment on this page is editorial and is regenerated periodically; every figure inside it is resolved from the live data above at the moment the page renders.