Every rewarded Polymarket market, ranked by what your capital would earn per day against the live order book.
Best market at your capital
$240/day
At $1,000, one market at a time — the column never sums.
What Polymarket actually paid
Paid yesterday
Daily average, 7d
148 markets in viewReward pool in view $16.1KBook read 07:31 PM UTC
Reward economyHow this is computed
Polymarket scores each resting order by ((max spread − distance from mid) / max spread)², weighted by size, and pays every maker their share of the market's daily pool. Your share is modelled from a two-sided quote one tick from the mid, with your capital split evenly across both sides.
Each row answers "what if my whole capital quoted this one market", so the earnings column is a set of alternatives, not a portfolio you can hold at once. Two further approximations: the midpoint is the plain best-bid/best-ask mid rather than Polymarket's size-cutoff-adjusted midpoint, and competition counts every resting level including orders below the market's minimum size. Both under-state your share.
Polymarket pays nothing below $1 per day, so a market where your capital cannot clear that floor is not worth quoting.
| $250 | $239.9 | 8.8k% | $5 | 1.0¢ | $13.2K | 112d | ||
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? MrBeast views week 1 | $256 | $227.9 | 8.3k% | $51 | 1.2¢ | $2K | 2dHigh | |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? MrBeast views week 1 | $244 | $226.2 | 8.3k% | $49 | 1.0¢ | $1.4K | 2dHigh | |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9? NYC Daily WeatherBoth sides required | $267 | $211 | 7.7k% | $38 | 2.0¢ | $239.3 | 0dHigh | |
| $1.2K | $174.4 | 6.4k% | $204 | 2.0¢ | $52K | 0dHigh | ||
| $200 | $139.4 | 5.1k% | $40 | 3.0¢ | $41.7K | 0dHigh | ||
| $250 | $133 | 4.9k% | $31 | 2.0¢ | $20.3K | 112dMedium | ||
| $148 | $129.1 | 4.7k% | $28 | 2.0¢ | $8.3K | 3dMedium | ||
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9? NYC Daily WeatherBoth sides required | $133 | $126.4 | 4.6k% | $3 | 1.0¢ | $460.9 | 0dHigh | |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10? Shanghai Daily Weather | $138 | $121 | 4.4k% | $66 | 2.0¢ | $1K | 0dHigh | |
| $250 | $116 | 4.2k% | $114 | 2.0¢ | $33.9K | 112dHigh | ||
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 9? Miami Daily Weather | $111 | $111 | 4.1k% | $18 | 12.0¢ | $358.5 | 0dHigh | |
| $100 | $100 | 3.6k% | $28 | 15.0¢ | $552.8 | 112dHigh | ||
| $100 | $97.3 | 3.6k% | $16 | 3.0¢ | $1.1K | 112dHigh | ||
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 9? Miami Daily Weather | $89 | $89 | 3.2k% | $22 | 16.0¢ | $282.5 | 0dHigh | |
| $100 | $89 | 3.2k% | $17 | 2.0¢ | $12.9K | 112d | ||
| $250 | $80.4 | 2.9k% | $46 | 2.0¢ | $54.3K | 112dHigh | ||
| $100 | $79.7 | 2.9k% | $32 | 1.0¢ | $489.1 | 21dHigh | ||
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 9? Toronto Daily WeatherBoth sides required | $97 | $75.7 | 2.8k% | $183 | 3.0¢ | $378.7 | 0dHigh | |
| $106 | $73.2 | 2.7k% | $17 | 2.5¢ | $14.3K | 0dHigh | ||
| $100 | $69 | 2.5k% | $36 | 1.0¢ | $1.1K | 14dHigh | ||
| $100 | $62.3 | 2.3k% | $28 | 3.0¢ | $16.1K | 0dHigh | ||
| $276 | $61.7 | 2.3k% | $38 | 0.2¢ | $17.2K | 112d | ||
| $200 | $51.6 | 1.9k% | $147 | 1.0¢ | $47.2K | 20dMedium | ||
| $100 | $48.7 | 1.8k% | $121 | 1.0¢ | $14.3K | 1dMedium | ||
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 10? Shanghai Daily Weather | $54 | $46.4 | 1.7k% | $32 | 2.0¢ | $2.5K | 0dHigh | |
| $100 | $46.3 | 1.7k% | $101 | 1.0¢ | $22.8K | 0dHigh | ||
| $70 | $45.6 | 1.7k% | $8 | 1.0¢ | $23.1K | 21d | ||
| $49 | $45.5 | 1.7k% | $28 | 6.0¢ | $7.7K | 0dHigh | ||
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? AI millennium prize solution | $50 | $39.5 | 1.4k% | $25 | 3.0¢ | $3.4K | 113dMedium | |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Who attend US-Iran peace talks | $50 | $36.9 | 1.3k% | $21 | 2.0¢ | $18.5K | 113d | |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? Crude Oil (CL) hit__ | $100 | $31.1 | 1.1k% | $80 | 2.0¢ | $34.9K | 21d | |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Best AI CompanyBoth sides required | $444 | $30.9 | 1.1k% | $38 | 0.1¢ | $75.6K | 21d | |
| $70 | $30.9 | 1.1k% | $33 | 1.0¢ | $20.4K | 21d | ||
| $100 | $30.8 | 1.1k% | $74 | 2.0¢ | $8.5K | 0dHigh | ||
| $96 | $30.4 | 1.1k% | $84 | 2.0¢ | $37K | 0dHigh | ||
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? PoliticsBoth sides required | $50 | $29.8 | 1.1k% | $21 | 1.0¢ | $27.1K | 113d | |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 10? London Daily Weather | $52 | $28.2 | 1.0k% | $20 | 1.0¢ | $4.2K | 0dHigh | |
| $34 | $27.5 | 1.0k% | $36 | 1.0¢ | $43K | 3dMedium | ||
| $49 | $25.6 | 934.6% | $45 | 3.0¢ | $50.6K | 3dMedium | ||
| $59 | $24.8 | 906.3% | $53 | 2.0¢ | $41.8K | 10d | ||
| $52 | $24.8 | 905.4% | $21 | 1.0¢ | $74.8K | 3dMedium | ||
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Who attend US-Iran peace talks | $50 | $24.5 | 893.6% | $22 | 1.0¢ | $22K | 113d | |
| $24 | $22.5 | 820.2% | $36 | 3.0¢ | $3.4K | 21dHigh | ||
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? ECB Interest Rates | $25 | $22.4 | 816.3% | $20 | 2.0¢ | $2K | 49dHigh | |
| $48 | $21.8 | 797.5% | $45 | 1.0¢ | $10.6K | 1dMedium | ||
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? Crude Oil (CL) hit__ | $100 | $21.5 | 784.2% | $138 | 2.4¢ | $36.1K | 21d | |
| $26 | $21 | 768.2% | $64 | 3.0¢ | $4.7K | 21dMedium | ||
| $52 | $21 | 764.7% | $29 | 1.0¢ | $11K | 112d | ||
| $43 | $20.9 | 763.4% | $42 | 2.0¢ | $45.7K | 3dMedium | ||
 Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 9? AAPL Daily Up Down | $20 | $20 | 730.0% | $18 | 28.0¢ | $3.2K | 0dHigh | |
| $94 | $19.9 | 725.0% | $85 | 2.0¢ | $13.3K | 0dHigh | ||
| $100 | $19.1 | 697.8% | $114 | 2.0¢ | $34.1K | 478d | ||
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? Crude Oil (CL) hit__ | $100 | $19.1 | 696.3% | $116 | 2.0¢ | $31.4K | 21dMedium | |
| $20 | $18.8 | 684.7% | $14 | 1.0¢ | $3.1K | 113dMedium | ||
| $41 | $18.4 | 671.7% | $40 | 2.0¢ | $14.6K | 1dMedium | ||
| $30 | $18.3 | 668.5% | $68 | 2.0¢ | $37.5K | 113dHigh | ||
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? TechBoth sides required | $20 | $18 | 655.4% | $6 | 1.2¢ | $3.7K | 20dHigh | |
| $300 | $16.5 | 602.9% | $78 | 1.0¢ | $338.9K | 112dMedium | ||
| $50 | $14.9 | 543.4% | $65 | 1.0¢ | $36.3K | 113d | ||
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? AI millennium prize solutionBoth sides required | $20 | $14.3 | 522.2% | $21 | 1.0¢ | $3.8K | 21dMedium | |
| $52 | $13.8 | 505.4% | $54 | 1.0¢ | $94K | 3dMedium | ||
| $100 | $13 | 474.9% | $137 | 1.0¢ | $28K | 8d | ||
| $50 | $12.8 | 467.2% | $114 | 1.0¢ | $54.1K | 294d | ||
| $51 | $11.8 | 430.6% | $76 | 1.0¢ | $16.7K | 10d | ||
| $25 | $11.7 | 427.2% | $57 | 1.0¢ | $13.1K | 113d | ||
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? Crude Oil (CL) hit__ | $50 | $11.6 | 425.1% | $67 | 2.4¢ | $39K | 21d | |
| $30 | $11.5 | 418.3% | $56 | 2.0¢ | $25.2K | 21dMedium | ||
| $20 | $11.1 | 404.7% | $42 | 1.0¢ | $39K | 3dMedium | ||
| $100 | $10.6 | 386.8% | $346 | 1.0¢ | $29K | 112dHigh | ||
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10? Beijing Daily Weather | $111 | $10.5 | 384.0% | $113 | 1.0¢ | $21.4K | 0dHigh | |
| $491 | $10.2 | 372.9% | $126 | 1.0¢ | $121.3K | 48d | ||
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? ECB Interest Rates | $25 | $10.1 | 369.6% | $82 | 2.0¢ | $1.4K | 49dHigh | |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? Crude Oil (CL) hit__ | $50 | $9.8 | 357.4% | $84 | 2.0¢ | $33.8K | 21d | |
| $556 | $9.3 | 338.5% | $362 | 1.0¢ | $99K | 21d | ||
| $50 | $9.2 | 335.4% | $97 | 1.0¢ | $25.8K | 113d | ||
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? EconomyBoth sides required | $66 | $9.2 | 334.7% | $95 | 0.2¢ | $270.8K | 112d | |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? PoliticsBoth sides required | $100 | $9.1 | 331.0% | $101 | 0.2¢ | $180.4K | 21d | |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? US x Iran diplomatic meetingBoth sides required | $100 | $8.2 | 299.6% | $113 | 1.0¢ | $99.8K | 20d | |
| $150 | $7.8 | 282.9% | $218 | 1.0¢ | $42.4K | 90d | ||
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? Both sides required | $20 | $7.7 | 280.4% | $84 | 2.0¢ | $36.2K | 113d | |
| $52 | $7.7 | 279.6% | $113 | 1.0¢ | $62.8K | 10d | ||
| $100 | $7.1 | 258.0% | $302 | 1.0¢ | $49.2K | 51d | ||
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? PoliticsBoth sides required | $30 | $6.9 | 252.5% | $115 | 0.1¢ | $59.8K | 112d | |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? Economy | $50 | $6.9 | 250.9% | $128 | 1.0¢ | $110.2K | 90d | |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? Both sides required | $50 | $6.2 | 226.5% | $144 | 0.1¢ | $114.1K | 5dMedium | |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? US x Iran diplomatic meeting | $50 | $6 | 217.5% | $230 | 1.0¢ | $77.6K | 202d | |
| $50 | $6 | 217.4% | $151 | 2.0¢ | $13.4K | 294d | ||
| $100 | $5.9 | 214.0% | $241 | 0.7¢ | $221.6K | 113d | ||
| $30 | $5.7 | 208.2% | $147 | 1.0¢ | $100.2K | 21d | ||
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? Crude Oil (CL) hit__ | $20 | $5.5 | 201.4% | $138 | 2.0¢ | $46.4K | 21d | |
| $11 | $5.4 | 197.5% | $103 | 1.0¢ | $12.8K | 1dMedium | ||
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? US x Iran diplomatic meeting | $30 | $5.4 | 196.2% | $158 | 1.0¢ | $40.8K | 51d | |
| $48 | $5.3 | 192.9% | $172 | 1.0¢ | $46.5K | 3dMedium | ||
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? US x Iran diplomatic meeting | $50 | $5 | 184.2% | $182 | 1.0¢ | $55.9K | 112d | |
| $1K | $5 | 182.0% | $200 | 1.0¢ | $423.2K | 6dMedium | ||
| $1K | $4.8 | 174.9% | $218 | 1.0¢ | $391.2K | 6dMedium | ||
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? Both sides required | $100 | $4.6 | 167.5% | $386 | 1.0¢ | $32.2K | 112dHigh | |
| $28 | $4.5 | 163.4% | $195 | 0.1¢ | $101.1K | 51d | ||
| $30 | $4.5 | 162.6% | $198 | 1.0¢ | $99.9K | 52d | ||
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? GeopoliticsBoth sides required | $30 | $4.3 | 157.2% | $206 | 1.0¢ | $92.9K | 113d | |
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? Both sides required | $20 | $4.3 | 156.2% | $193 | 0.8¢ | $47.3K | 21d | |
| $50 | $4.2 | 153.4% | $222 | 1.0¢ | $30.1K | 113d | ||
| $11 | $3.7 | 135.5% | $196 | 2.0¢ | $54.1K | 10d | ||
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? EconomyBoth sides required | $12 | $3.5 | 126.8% | $223 | 0.3¢ | $99.8K | 112d | |
| $44 | $3.4 | 125.4% | $275 | 0.1¢ | $139.3K | 51d | ||
| $50 | $3.2 | 118.5% | $294 | 1.0¢ | $18.8K | 294d | ||
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? Crude Oil (CL) hit__ | $20 | $3.1 | 114.2% | $284 | 1.6¢ | $42.3K | 21d | |
| $400 | $3.1 | 112.5% | $323 | 1.0¢ | $759.2K | 113d | ||
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? Both sides required | $10 | $2.9 | 105.8% | $272 | 1.0¢ | $50.2K | 12d | |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? PoliticsHolding rewards | $30 | $2.9 | 105.3% | $324 | 1.0¢ | $102K | 113d | |
| $100 | $2.8 | 101.0% | $355 | 1.0¢ | $84.8K | 112d | ||
| $12 | $2.6 | 94.2% | $332 | 1.0¢ | $6K | 263d | ||
| $20 | $2.3 | 85.3% | $398 | 1.0¢ | $62.9K | 113d | ||
| $24 | $2.3 | 85.0% | $405 | 1.8¢ | $22.6K | 294d | ||
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Both sides required | $70 | $2.3 | 84.5% | $424 | 1.0¢ | $262.6K | 113d | |
| $48 | $2.3 | 83.2% | $427 | 1.0¢ | $47K | 10d | ||
| $45 | $2 | 74.3% | $480 | 0.1¢ | $192.7K | 20d | ||
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Both sides required | $30 | $2 | 73.7% | $478 | 2.0¢ | $167.5K | 51d | |
| $100 | $2 | 72.0% | $502 | 1.0¢ | $60.3K | 20dMedium | ||
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? PoliticsBoth sides required | $100 | $2 | 71.9% | $503 | 0.1¢ | $690.1K | 113d | |
| $30 | $2 | 71.4% | $495 | 1.0¢ | $88.6K | 113d | ||
| $30 | $1.8 | 65.6% | $541 | 2.0¢ | $13.8K | 478d | ||
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? GeopoliticsBoth sides required | $20 | $1.6 | 60.1% | $586 | 0.2¢ | $223.8K | 21d | |
| $128 | $1.4 | 50.4% | $722 | 0.1¢ | $127.5K | 51d | ||
| $48 | $1.4 | 49.8% | $728 | 1.0¢ | $62.8K | 3dMedium | ||
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? PoliticsBoth sides required | $70 | $1.3 | 48.0% | $757 | 1.0¢ | $563.8K | 113d | |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House PoliticsHolding rewards | $38 | $1.2 | 42.6% | $852 | 1.0¢ | $304.8K | 54d | |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? PoliticsHolding rewards | $28 | $1.1 | 40.7% | $893 | 0.2¢ | $299.9K | 789d | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? PoliticsHolding rewardsBoth sides required | $50 | $1 | 37.0% | $985 | 0.1¢ | $439.2K | 112d | |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? PoliticsHolding rewards | $23 | $0.9 | 34.4% | $1,065 | 0.1¢ | $297.7K | 789d | |
| $101 | $0.9 | 33.3% | $1,098 | 1.0¢ | $238.3K | 24d | ||
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? where US-Iran meetingBoth sides required | $50 | $0.8 | 29.9% | $1,225 | 0.6¢ | $72.1K | 21d | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? PoliticsHolding rewardsBoth sides required | $70 | $0.8 | 29.0% | $1,262 | 1.0¢ | $549.5K | 113d | |
| $12 | $0.8 | 27.9% | $1,334 | 0.2¢ | $94.9K | 112d | ||
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House PoliticsHolding rewards | $54 | $0.7 | 26.6% | $1,381 | 1.0¢ | $294.8K | 54d | |
 Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) NFL 2026 | $400 | $0.7 | 23.7% | $1,539 | 1.0¢ | $971.9K | 0dHigh | |
| $27 | $0.6 | 22.7% | $1,628 | 2.0¢ | $44.2K | 112d | ||
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? PoliticsHolding rewards | $56 | $0.6 | 22.6% | $1,626 | 1.0¢ | $780.2K | 54d | |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? PoliticsHolding rewards | $75 | $0.6 | 21.5% | $1,706 | 0.1¢ | $353.8K | 789d | |
| $12 | $0.5 | 18.8% | $2,027 | 0.1¢ | $60.2K | 112d | ||
| $55 | $0.4 | 13.1% | $2,821 | 1.0¢ | $376.7K | 20d | ||
Patriots vs. Seahawks NFL 2026 | $500 | $0.4 | 13.0% | $2,812 | 1.0¢ | $1.9M | 0dHigh | |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? EconomyBoth sides required | $116 | $0.3 | 12.6% | $2,919 | 0.1¢ | $216.4K | 112d | |
| $10 | $0.2 | 6.7% | $5,921 | 0.1¢ | $200.6K | 24d | ||
| $11 | $0.1 | 5.4% | $7,400 | 1.0¢ | $234.9K | 202d | ||
| $12 | $0.1 | 5.1% | $7,695 | 1.0¢ | $294.2K | 262d | ||
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? PoliticsHolding rewards | $44 | $0.1 | 3.4% | $11,000 | 1.0¢ | $789.4K | 54d |
