socrat
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socrat is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$250 PnL, $13.1K total volume, a 66.7% win rate, and activity across 14 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
socrat Polymarket trader wallet 0xfaa9bf238a7e883d776a14f0671e4397c03f243f got cute with sports betting, crushed one trade for $186 on Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC, then blew up the entire edge with a $250.4 loss on Arsenal vs. Ipswich and landed -$250 total PnL across 14 trades.
This conservative Polymarket trader sits buried at rank 2,177,437 with a brutal -1.91% ROI despite hitting 66.7% win rate. The math here screams the real trap: when your best win is $186 and your worst loss is -$297, you're playing a game where one bad guess wipes out multiple correct calls. socrat averaged $457 per trade, which sounds reasonable until you realize the portfolio only holds $4,146 and two open positions are currently underwater. Classic amateur edge collapse.
The strategy reads like sports noise arbitrage — 14 markets, all different, zero specialization. Six more buys than sells suggest panic-buying dips or chasing momentum into dead money. When you check Polymarket wallet analytics for socrat, the pattern screams lack of position sizing discipline. Win rate looks solid until you zoom into the actual dollars: you can be right two-thirds of the time and still lose everything if your losers run 1.5x bigger than your winners. This Polymarket whale absolutely is not — it's a cautionary tale.
What separates socrat from profitable prediction market analytics traders isn't raw prediction skill but pure risk management failure. The one decent win on Rennais vs. PSG got immediately punished by a trade on Arsenal. No cool-off. No position review. Just keep pressing into markets you clearly don't have an edge in. The low risk label in the data feels generous given the portfolio is already hemorrhaging.
Current status: two open positions on a $4,146 remaining portfolio. Not everyone survives the next drawdown. If you're reading this and thinking "I could do better," pull up Predicts.guru, check Polymarket wallet analytics on top traders, and notice how the 2M+ rank players keep repeating the same beginner mistake — confusing hit rate with profit rate.
conservativeRisk: low