0xeC86a2d3f69015b1A9382e4dfA8695E1B48760E4-1770735132210
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0xeC86a2d3f69015b1A9382e4dfA8695E1B48760E4-1770735132210 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $15.0K PnL, $1.7M total volume, a 96.7% win rate, and activity across 6915 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
HOOK
0xeC86a2d3f69015b1A9382e4dfA8695E1B48760E4 Polymarket trader runs a temperature prediction bot that fires 242 trades per day with a 96.7% win rate—yet somehow sits at negative 58% ROI, the most brutal reminder that high frequency doesn't mean high returns.
IDENTITY
This is a crypto bot, rank 23,047 on Polymarket, built specifically to exploit granular weather prediction markets. Total trades: 1,997. Portfolio value: $2,376. The setup screams algorithmic edge—but the math tells a darker story.
STRATEGY
The bot specializes in hyper-niche temperature markets (Miami, Tel Aviv, etc.) and executes thousands of small bets hunting for pricing inefficiencies in weather data. Buy-to-sell ratio of 6:1 suggests it's loading up on underpriced temperature outcomes and rotating out when odds shift. Dead simple: find mispricings in boring weather markets, scale fast, let volume compound edge.
PROOF
Deposited $5,708 total. Current portfolio sits at $2,376—that's the -58.36% ROI smack in the face. Win rate looks nuclear at 96.51%, but average trade size is only $26.41. Best single win pulled $52.51 on a Miami temperature call; worst loss hemorrhaged $360.37 on a Tel Aviv outcome. In 8 days of recorded activity, fired 242 trades daily across exactly 1,997 unique markets. That's discipline. That's also fragility.
EDGE
Temperature markets are predictable, liquid enough to scalp, and ignored by retail Polymarket traders chasing election and crypto volatility. The bot found a gap nobody else cares about—weather data is available free, outcomes are objective, and mismatches between market odds and actual probabilities are harvestable. The Polymarket wallet analytics show 2,142 open positions, meaning the bot is constantly juggling dozens of tiny bets. But here's the trap: high win rate masks low average profit per trade. One bad tail event (outlier weather) can blow through months of grinding.
NOW
Currently holding 2,142 open positions across temperature and weather markets. No withdrawals yet—all $5,708 is tied up or lost. The bot is still active and still firing trades, but down nearly 60% despite near-perfect execution. This is the cost of running on razor-thin edges in a market where expected value per trade is single-digit dollars. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
CTA
Track this Polymarket wallet checker's live positions and ROI curve on Predicts.guru to see if the bot ever reverses the bleed or if niche specialization hits a hard ceiling.
crypto botRisk: low