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Trader Overview
yuyu2025 (0xebb1573b8bec894b06e0db3e5586563d908de7af) is a Polymarket trader who deposited $1.3K, ran 624 trades across 608 markets, and somehow maintains a 70.5% win rate while sitting underwater -$164 in total PnL. That's the contrarian move nobody talks about.
This conservative Polymarket trader operates at 7.9 trades per day—high frequency enough to smell opportunity, disciplined enough to avoid blowing up. yuyu2025 does pure noise farming. Open 175 positions, closed 449. The portfolio screams: entry-level retail playing the prediction market volatility game, not chasing home-run bets. Win rate says skill. Negative ROI says timing or spread slippage is eating lunch. A $679 max win paired with a $250 max loss tells you this trader sizes small, sleeps at night, and doesn't panic-dump on downswings.
The math is brutal. $1.3K deposited, $364 net still in the account (after $952 pulled out), 70% winners, but -17.7% ROI. On Polymarket, that's what happens when you nail direction 7 times out of 10 but the market moves against you between entry and exit. yuyu2025's best trade hit Gas price per blob 1 month after EIP-4844? for $678—proof the edge exists. The worst trade on the same market dropped $250. That's the contrarian's trap: high conviction markets can swing hard.
What separates this Polymarket whale from the next retail degen is discipline mixed with scale delusion. A 3.27 buy-to-sell ratio means yuyu2025 builds positions slowly, exits faster—textbook risk management. 608 markets touched suggests systematic scanning, not emotional yolo. But here's the reality check: $53 average trade size on prediction markets where you're fighting the spread, fighting liquidity, fighting the guy who read the same Discord alpha 3 minutes before you. Tiny edge × high frequency = slowly drowning in fees.
Right now yuyu2025 holds $131 portfolio value with 175 open positions. That's not a whale, that's a disciplined grinder who learned the hard way that high win rate doesn't equal positive Polymarket PnL. The edge exists somewhere in the noise—maybe he's right more often than the crowd, maybe the market just moves too fast for small accounts. Either way, this is what happens when you're right 70% of the time and still need to catch the next winner just to break even.
diversifiedRisk: low