0xe92ba91DC917ad459948115A3EBd233e3060E1f1-1770884637712
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0xe92ba91DC917ad459948115A3EBd233e3060E1f1-1770884637712 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$4 PnL, $397 total volume, a 72.0% win rate, and activity across 119 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet that opened with pocket change, flipped 50 weather markets in a week, and still ended up red — meet the 0xe92ba91DC917ad459948115A3EBd233e3060E1f1-1770884637712 Polymarket trader.
Identity: a conservative micro-trader ranked #1,592,810, betting exclusively on daily temperature spikes across Asia — Seoul, Wuhan, the whole weather niche. Small fries, but the stats tell a weird story.
Strategy: buy the "will it hit X degrees" yes/no at a 78.9 cents average entry, sell before resolution. That's it. No catalysts, no geopolitical edge, just meteorological fever charts and quick exits. 7.6 trades per day, 50 closed positions, 72% win rate on the scoreboard.
Proof: best trade was Seoul hitting 18°C on April 15 — a clean +$3.85. Worst was Wuhan at 23°C the next day, a brutal -$7.96 that wiped a week of grind. Net PnL sits at -$4.4, ROI -1.1% on $397.4 volume across 119 markets. The buy/sell ratio is 1.78 — he's buying more than he sells, which is the first red flag.
Edge: this isn't alpha, it's discipline. 72% win rate with a negative PnL means the losses are twice the size of the wins. That's the classic "right 9 times, die on the 10th" pattern. What separates him from 99% of degens? He respects risk — low exposure, tiny $1.75 average trade, zero open positions right now. He quit while slightly behind.
Now: the wallet is flat. 0 open positions, just dust and lessons. Real talk: this is what 90% of Polymarket weather grinders look like under the hood — a win rate that flatters, a PnL that doesn't. Not everyone survives the drawdown, and this trader's "strategy" is a math problem that doesn't compound.
Track this wallet with a Polymarket wallet checker to see if the weather edge ever flips green — or check other traders on Predicts.guru for real alpha.
conservativeRisk: low