gmanas Polymarket Wallet
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gmanas is a Polymarket wallet profile with $5.0M PnL, $529.0M total volume, a 52.9% win rate, and activity across 4907 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
gmanas Polymarket trader turned $478M in volume into $2.53M PnL across 4,477 markets—and did it at 81.6% win rate while the rest of the Polymarket leaderboard bleeds through drawdowns.
Name's gmanas. Rank 28 Polymarket whale. Trader type: the quiet kind who farms noise while retail chases memes. 350 total trades, 58.8 per day, $12.7K average bet. The math here is feral: 0.53% ROI on a $478M volume run sounds pedestrian until you realize that's $2.53M profit on pure execution across nearly 4,500 different markets. Most Polymarket traders pick a thesis and ride it. gmanas picks everything.
The edge hack is stupidly simple: hit 81.6% win rate on high-frequency micro-bets. Buy in at 0.57 average entry price, scale 499 to 1 on the buy side, let volume do the work. Not rocket science. The real flex is discipline—dude's sitting on 300 open positions right now and hasn't blown up. That's predator-level portfolio management. Polymarket arbitrage players usually die on one bad correlation cascade. gmanas just... keeps winning.
Metrics prove it. Best single trade pulled $111K profit on Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrievers. Worst loss hit -$42.4K on Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels. Risk spread across 4,477 markets means individual blowups don't crater the whole book. Portfolio sitting at $823K. That's what happens when you're a top Polymarket trader who actually understands position sizing.
What separates gmanas from 99% degens: he's not chasing headlines. He's not emotionally attached to one market thesis. He's building a machine that converts Polymarket volatility into consistent edge through sheer volume and execution. The 81.57% win rate Polymarket leaderboard spot doesn't happen by accident. Somewhere between the 50-50 bets and the structured noise, this wallet is printing. Medium risk only because 300 open positions means correlation risk lives in the shadows—not everyone survives the next market shock.
Currently deep in the grind. 300 open positions means gmanas is still hunting. The numbers are clean enough to make you believe Polymarket prediction markets actually work. Just remember: scale like this requires either insane edge or insane capital. Probably both.
whaleRisk: medium