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Trader Overview
krajekis (0xe6b5ae93d4cd91af0c55d4f80f3118c5a316cffc) Polymarket trader started with $228 in deposits, lost $72 in 18 trades across 18 different markets, and somehow still has a 52.9% win rate — the exact profile of someone learning prediction markets the expensive way.
Rank 1.8M. Diversified degen. Touches everything from esports to sports betting, averaging $18.57 per trade. The portfolio screams "I'm not sure what I'm good at yet" — 18 markets, 18 trades, one position still open. Low risk tolerance on paper, but that $51k loss on Dota 2: The International 2025 says otherwise. krajekis Polymarket trader profile shows the brutal math: -31.52% ROI, -$72 net PnL, still grinding.
The edge hack here is actually the opposite of an edge. krajekis buys high and sells low with a 6.33x buy-to-sell ratio, meaning they're holding bags more than taking profits. Best trade pulled $0.77 on Lyon vs. FCSB. Worst trade? Dota 2 got chopped for $51.64. That's a 67x loss-to-win ratio on the single trade level. This isn't strategy — this is trial and error with real money. Win rate stays respectable at 52.94% because they're not sizing bets consistently. Trade once per 10 days on average, which explains why the damage isn't worse.
What separates krajekis from harder cases: still taking withdrawals, still trading, hasn't rage-quit or yolo'd into oblivion. Pulled $155 out while underwater, so they're not chasing. The low risk classification and zero pattern in market selection suggests they're genuinely diversifying to learn, not because they've found an edge. Polymarket win rate looks solid until you realize half the wins are pennies and one loss is a nuclear bomb.
Currently holding one position with $1.23 in portfolio value. Real talk: losing $72 on $228 deposits is rookie territory, not cautionary. The actual risk here is the next 18 trades. If they keep the same strategy — bag holding, wide market spray, sizing like a slot machine — that -31% ROI becomes -50% fast. Polymarket trader status doesn't change without pattern recognition. Right now krajekis is a prediction market tax on learning.
diversifiedRisk: low