toufik-la-moula
Loading wallet statistics…
toufik-la-moula is a Polymarket wallet profile with $2.8K PnL, $390.8K total volume, a 89.8% win rate, and activity across 1639 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet that started with ~$57k in deposits and has turned that into nearly $107k in portfolio value with an 88% ROI, yet has withdrawn less than $450 total — a hoarder, not a flipper.
toufik-la-moula — currently ranked #35,210 globally on Polymarket with a 89.8% win rate from 1,639 markets traded. Classified as a conservative trader, heavily favoring extreme low-risk directional bets that pay tiny but consistent returns.
Strategy: They buy into markets when odds are already ≥95.6% on average (average entry price: 0.956). They're not trying to hit home runs — they're collecting pennies from markets that are nearly resolved. The edge? Pure patience and volume. With 23.2 trades per day, they farm the final 3-5% yield on almost-certain outcomes. Think of it as lending stablecoins at 5% daily return with near-zero principal risk.
Proof: Their best single trade was on the "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by... (2026-03-31)" event for +$183, while their worst was a $2.8K profit on an earthquake count market. Ratio tells everything: 11.14 buys for every 1 sell. They almost never sell — they wait for resolution. The massive $2.8K profit was the outlier that proves they mostly avoid directional catastrophe.
Edge: Discipline over gut. Most degens chase 10x swings on election odds or crypto narratives. toufik-la-moula writes off that noise completely and stakes tiny 0.95-0.99 YES/NO shares in low-volatility markets where the outcome is effectively predetermined. The edge isn't market knowledge — it's volume-based arb on delayed settlement. They're a Polymarket bot in human clothing.
Now: 83 open positions active, still grinding. Portfolio at ~$107k with $2.8K total PnL. The realism check: if Polymarket ever faces a major settlement failure or oracle dispute on one of these "safe" bets, a single fat tail event could wipe weeks of grinding. Not everyone survives the eventual drawdown.
Track toufik-la-moula's daily grind with a Polymarket wallet checker at Predicts.guru — or browse the top Polymarket traders to see who actually survives the long game.
conservativeRisk: low