qwrasdz
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qwrasdz is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$1.5M PnL, $14.6M total volume, a 95.0% win rate, and activity across 167 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0xd43cf... turned $2.5M in deposits into a realized loss of ~$1.47M — that’s what happens when you have a 95% win rate but your one fat loss is bigger than all your wins combined.
qwrasdz Polymarket trader ranks #2,821,131 but operates like a whale: 76 closed trades, 167 markets traded, total volume of $14.6M. Medium risk. Sports & politics specialist.
Their strategy is simple: flood the zone with small, high-probability bets. Average entry at $0.52, 4:1 buy-to-sell ratio — they mostly buy yes/no, rarely short. 0.6 trades/day, consistent, boring. The hack? Niche over competition. They farm low-liquidity edges where retail doesn’t look.
Proof: 76 trades, 72 wins. But one trade — “Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes? (2025-06-03)” — blew their PnL with a $1.5M loss. That’s ~1.8x their best win ($68,900 on Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves). Gross margin: brutal.
Edge: Discipline at scale. 95% win rate sounds godlike until you realize they risked everything on one political outcome. They’re not a bot, not high-frequency — just a guy who understands that 95% accuracy means nothing if you don’t size properly. The second their thesis craters, they go underwater forever.
Now: 0 open positions. Net deposits: $1.51M remaining — they’ve withdrawn $1.01M, so they’re still in profit on cash flows. But the current portfolio is empty. Maybe taking a break. Maybe regrouping.
But make no mistake: if that South Korea bet had landed, this is a $250K+ profitable whale. One coin flip erased everything.
Track qwrasdz reality check with the Polymarket wallet checker at Predicts.guru — or find the next trader that won’t make you go broke at 95% win rate.
whaleRisk: medium