Thorisson
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Thorisson is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$939 PnL, $16.4K total volume, a 97.9% win rate, and activity across 226 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Thorisson Polymarket trader went from zero to 126 closed trades with a 97.9% win rate — but still lost $853.81. That’s not a typo. This is the wildest paradox on the entire Polymarket Leaderboard.
Name’s Thorisson. Rank #2,924,785. Conservative trader, low risk, weather markets only. 226 markets traded, 19.5 trades per day. Sounds like a bot, moves like a bot — but the PnL screams human error.
Here’s the strategy: buy YES on temperature outcomes at an average entry of $0.77, sell fast, never hold overnight. The edge hack? Pure granularity. He’s not betting on "hot July" — he’s betting on Chongqing hitting exactly 39°C on July 25. That’s noise collection at its finest.
Proof? Best trade: Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 25? — $939 loss. Worst trade: Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? — $939 loss. Max single win is 105x his max single loss. But here’s the kicker: 126 wins, zero losses, and the account is still $853 down. That’s fees, slippage, and buying overpriced YES tickets at $0.77+. Looks like free money until you realize he’s paying 77 cents to win 23.
What separates Thorisson from 99% of degens? Discipline. He doesn’t chase politics or crypto. He farms weather spreads like a quantitative hedge fund intern. Most traders YOLO on election night — he’s checking humidity models at 6 AM. That’s the real edge: knowing your niche so deep that the "boring" market becomes your ATM.
Right now? Zero open positions, $0 portfolio value, 126 closed trades. The realism check: 97.9% win rate with negative ROI means he’s mastered the art of winning small and losing big on fees. Not everyone survives that drawdown — but he keeps stacking trades like clockwork.
Want to see if this weather wizard finally turns green? Track this wallet on Predicts.guru or check other top Polymarket traders to see who’s actually printing.
conservativeRisk: low