ArmageddonRewardsBilly Polymarket Wallet
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ArmageddonRewardsBilly is a Polymarket wallet profile with $488.0K PnL, $342.1M total volume, a 52.9% win rate, and activity across 33040 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
ArmageddonRewardsBilly Polymarket trader (0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418) turned $220M in Polymarket volume into a $595K PnL war chest running a pure bot strategy that ignores retail noise entirely.
Rank 189, crypto bot, high-frequency noise farmer. Billy trades 193 times per day across 26K different markets with a 43.75% win rate — the exact inverse of what you'd expect from someone that active. The edge isn't winning more often. It's winning bigger when it counts.
The strategy is almost stupid in its simplicity: volume arbitrage on the dumbest possible markets. While retail chases S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? vol and gets wrecked, Billy's bot mills through 26K micro-markets simultaneously, catching 2-5% slippage on illiquid positions most humans won't even see. His best trade pulled $4,285 from that SPX market — real money on a single fill. His worst trade bled $5,635 on the US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? position. That's a max drawdown most Polymarket traders can't stomach.
The real separation: Billy's running 550 total trades with 500 open positions at any moment. That's not skill, that's infrastructure. The bot has custom logic to exploit micro-inefficiencies across fragmented orderbooks. His 0.27% ROI looks tiny until you realize it's compounding across $220M Polymarket volume on a 193-trades-per-day cadence. Low risk profile because the bot never holds conviction — it scalps direction and exits. His buy-to-sell ratio of 0.64 shows he's buying dips on trash markets and dumping into any bid. Portfolio sits at $1.68M right now with 500 live positions bleeding or earning fractions all day.
Current state: Billy's still grinding. 500 open bets across 26K markets means some are printing, most are noise. The math works until liquidity dries or a market moves faster than the bot can exit. Watch the win rate — if it drops below 40%, the edge has compressed. This is the Polymarket leaderboard equivalent of high-frequency trading: free money until you're the one trying to close the door.
whaleRisk: medium