0xaa95...d397
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0xaa95...d397 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$353 PnL, $22.7K total volume, a 60.9% win rate, and activity across 845 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet, 50 trades, 845 markets clicked — and still down 87%. That's the reality of Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET for this conservative Polymarket trader.
Zero bio, zero ego. Just a wallet that opened with $2,290, made 50 micro-bets, and bled out to -$353. This isn't a whale — it's a cautionary tale wearing a "conservative" label.
The strategy was simple: buy yes/no on Bitcoin 5-minute candles, mostly under $5 per position. Avg entry at 70 cents, buy-sell ratio of 3.7 — so this trader loved buying dips that never came. 31 trades per day, 60.9% win rate, yet still negative. That's the paradox of small edges on tiny timeframes.
Best trade? A $3.66 win on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET. Worst? A $353 loss on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET. One bad night erased three good sessions.
The edge here? There wasn't one. 60.9% win rate with a risk-to-reward below 1:1 means the math was broken from the start. Max single win was half the max single loss. You don't need to be a Polymarket whale to see how that ends.
Now the wallet sits flat — zero open positions, $22.7K in volume, and 50 closed trades that taught a $2,290 lesson. The realism check: this is what "conservative" looks like when the edge is noise. Not everyone survives the drawdown, and this one quietly pulled out $299 before the bleeding stopped.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru to see how quickly a "safe" approach can turn into negative Polymarket PnL — or track other traders who actually flip the script.
conservativeRisk: low