0x31915680feA73AF8Ca61bD15Fa6549d888B0E118-1757867561627
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0x31915680feA73AF8Ca61bD15Fa6549d888B0E118-1757867561627 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$552 PnL, $79.5K total volume, a 81.8% win rate, and activity across 290 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0x31915680fea73af8ca61bd15fa6549d888b0e118 Polymarket trader started with $2,267, pulled out $4,303, and left the exchange with a net negative PnL of -$551 — somehow profitable on deposit ROI but not on mark-to-market, making this a case study in why volume doesn’t equal wealth.
Identity: Rank #2,617,250, diversified trader across 290 markets, 77 closed positions with an 81.8% win rate — but that 89.81% ROI is on deposits, not open equity.
Strategy: Hedging through heavy buy-to-sell ratio (2.6x more buys than sells) — essentially farming small edges across tennis, esports, and politics without taking directional risk. The edge hack? Flooding low-cap markets with small $75 average bets and relying on 81.8% win rate to offset the single $551.7 loss on Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs.
Proof: Best trade was Tunis: Joel Schwaerzler vs Franco Agamenone for +$363, worst was the Dota 2 match for -$70. Net deposits $2,267 → total volume $79.5K — that’s 35x turnover, meaning this Polymarket trader is grinding commissions more than betting.
Edge: Discipline over gut. 3.1 trades/day, all sub-$100, 81.8% win rate. Most degens chase jackpots; this wallet farms micro-arbitrage by checking Polymarket wallet analytics for mispriced sub-$0.50 lines. The math works until a bad week drops the rate below 70%.
Now: 0 open positions, $0 balance USDC — this wallet has fully degen'd out. Risk caveat: high win rate + low net PnL means the wins are tiny and the losses are sticky. Not survivable for most.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru or run a Polymarket wallet checker to see the full trade log — because 81.8% win rate and still underwater is the real alpha lesson.
diversifiedRisk: medium