Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

The Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 market on Polymarket resolved decisively, reflecting trader consensus on Iran's political stability during the specified timeframe. This prediction market asked whether Ali Khamenei would be removed from power through resignation, detention, or loss of duties before January 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market closed with NO at 100.0% and YES at 0.0%, indicating that traders overwhelmingly predicted Khamenei would remain in his position through the deadline. The event generated 49.7 million dollars in total volume, demonstrating substantial trader interest in this geopolitical outcome despite the market's eventual one-sided resolution. Polymarket's resolution criteria required credible reporting consensus to confirm any removal from power. The complete shift to NO pricing reflects either the passage of the deadline without such an event or the market's inactive status following its resolution period. Current market data shows the final price distribution and aggregate volume, which reveal trader positioning at close. However, this summary does not include liquidity depth, individual holder details, whale concentration metrics, or smart money signals. These data elements remain unavailable in this fast analytics overview. For deeper polymarket analytics on this event, the on-page analytics tables load separately and will display holder distribution, wallet age signals, and other granular metrics once available. Check those sections to examine trader patterns and account characteristics that shaped this market's outcome. This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. The site owner and author are not responsible for decisions, losses, or actions based on this text. Verify market data independently.