How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

Polymarket users can track the outcome for the event "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?" on this prediction market page. The central question being traded is whether fewer than 20 ships will transit the strait between May 11 and May 17, 2026. This market exists because the Strait of Hormuz is a critical maritime chokepoint, and the data comes exclusively from IMF Portwatch, which tracks transit calls for container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. The event was created on Polymarket on May 8, 2026, and the specific market for fewer than 20 ships was created on the same day, with trading opening shortly afterward. The market for "Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?" is currently active and has not yet resolved. The YES price sits at 1.8 cents, implying a 1.8% probability that fewer than 20 ships will pass through, while the NO price is 98.3 cents, representing a 98.3% probability that the count will be 20 or more. Total volume on this market is $809,500, with $62,200 in available liquidity. The event start date was May 8, 2026, and it will conclude on May 17, 2026, resolving once IMF Portwatch publishes final data for that week. This analytics page displays the current odds, YES price, NO price, volume, liquidity, and price or market movement for the selected market. When fully loaded, the page provides deeper analysis including top holders, whale activity, smart money signals, fresh wallet concentration, and resolution status. However, in this fast SEO generation, holder data, whale concentration, smart money signals, fresh account risk, YES/NO balance, average entry price, and PnL distribution are not included. Users should rely on the on-page analytics tables once they are fully rendered to verify wallet-level trends and market depth. For anyone researching polymarket analytics or prediction market analysis for the Strait of Hormuz shipping count, this page offers a clear snapshot of the current forecast. The odds heavily favor at least 20 ships transiting the waterway, based on the 98.3% NO price. To confirm shifts in trader sentiment or examine the order book and spread, check the interactive tables and charts directly on this page when they load. The resolution date is May 17, 2026, with a 14-day grace period if final data is delayed. This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. The site owner and author are not responsible for decisions, losses, or actions based on this text. Verify market data independently.