TSUNASIMA
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TSUNASIMA is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$7.0K PnL, $106.0K total volume, a 40.0% win rate, and activity across 8 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
TSUNASIMA Polymarket trader (0xffe590ad2528301548ad072cde91188f62f50f58) turned $12.3K into a 37.81% ROI on deposits — then got absolutely nuked by one $7K loss on edgeX token speculation that wiped most gains clean.
Meet TSUNASIMA: rank 2,428,236, diversified trader, 40% win rate across 9 total trades in 8 markets, $106K volume, medium risk. The wallet screams "chasing new token narratives" — edgeX FDV bets, launch timing calls, the kind of plays that either print or explode. They've traded roughly once every five days, averaging $1.1K per entry, holding an entry price around 0.58 which suggests a mix of early bets and averaging down.
The edge hack here is obvious on paper: spot the launch hype early, size small, hit the one-day pump. TSUNASIMA caught the edgeX FDV bet above threshold perfectly — pocketed $298.85 on that single trade. Then came the other side: "Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?" A $7K loss. One market, two bets, opposite theses. That's not diversification; that's hedging gone sideways or conviction gone backwards.
The numbers paint the real story. Net PnL is -$6,950, but deposits were $12.3K and portfolio now sits at $11.5K — meaning the 37.81% ROI on deposits is measuring against initial capital, not live returns. They've withdrawn $5.4K (smart risk management), but the wallet is sitting on $11.5K in open positions with 4 live markets. That's a trader who hasn't quit, but hasn't found a repeatable edge either. One killer trade ($298) next to one catastrophic miss ($4,711) tells you everything: no systematic Polymarket strategy, just conviction swings on emerging token launches.
TSUNASIMA's current risk posture is medium but trending sharp — 4 open positions still breathing, but portfolio concentration suggests they're either building a conviction or hoping to recover on the same bet type that burned them. The buy-to-sell ratio of 3:1 means they're still accumulating, not cutting.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to see if they've learned the edgeX lesson or are chasing the next token launch cycle.
diversifiedRisk: medium