ethan1 - 25 Polymarket Wallet
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ethan1 - 25 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$2.2K PnL, N/A total volume, a 17.4% win rate, and activity across 39 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
ethan1 - 25 (0xfc39eda197f2dd118d44cdcc9b9e61c5697eaade) Polymarket trader took a $2,238 loss on 39 trades with a brutal 17% win rate — but one trade hit for $838, meaning the real story is volatility, not skill.
Rank 2,634,228. Diversified trader. Medium risk. The profile screams someone who opened Polymarket, chased headlines, and learned the hard way that prediction markets don't care about your conviction.
Here's what ethan1 does: throws $50-100 tickets at whatever's trending, tries to time noise rallies, and occasionally catches a spike before the crowd exits. The edge hack? There is none. That's the whole thing. 39 trades, 17% win rate, negative $2.2K — this is the standard degen grind. Entry price hovering at 0.57 across the book suggests buying the dip or panic averaging down, a classic move that works until it doesn't.
The brutal symmetry: best trade and worst trade on the same market, How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA?. Won $838. Lost $1,234. That's not edge — that's coin-flip exposure with unequal sizing. Six open positions mean ethan1 is still hunting, still holding bags.
What separates this Polymarket trader from winners: nothing yet. 17% win rate on a diversified Polymarket wallet is math that doesn't compound. No discipline on position sizing. No evident niche or strategy. The 33 closed positions and only 6 open tells you the bleeding has mostly stopped, but only because capital ran dry or conviction broke. Medium risk rating is generous — this is high conviction meeting zero edge, which always ends the same way.
Currently sitting on six open positions after closing 33 at a loss. The realism: most traders with this profile never recover because they chase variance instead of building actual edge. Some learn, refine, and come back sharp. Most don't.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru and watch if ethan1 pivots to a single category or keeps diversified chaos.
diversifiedRisk: medium