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kekweis is a Polymarket wallet profile with $2.6K PnL, $121.0K total volume, a 74.6% win rate, and activity across 75 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
kekweis Polymarket trader turned $1.7K into -$66.79 ROI across 33 trades in esports betting — profitable on paper (65% win rate), absolutely destroyed in practice.
kekweis is a low-risk conservative Polymarket trader ranked 52802, specializing in esports (Dota 2 dominates the playbook). The numbers scream internal contradiction: 65.38% win rate with $1.597K total PnL looks clean until you see the -66.79% ROI and $260 current portfolio. Started with $1.727K in deposits, now holding $260.71. The math doesn't lie — you can win most bets and still lose money if sizing and position management collapse.
The strategy is textbook esports noise farming. Dota 2 matches, especially regional playoffs like Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs, are high-variance prediction markets where oddsmakers struggle. kekweis won the best trade (+$732.64 on Liquid vs South America Rejects) but got smashed on the worst trade (-$559.99 on Liquid vs BetBoom Team) — same team, different opponent, zero edge protection. Average trade size sits at $338, suggesting no kelly criterion discipline.
Here's the brutal divergence: 65% win rate should print money. Instead, this Polymarket trader is down two-thirds of initial capital. Buy-sell ratio of 1.077 shows slight market bias (buying pressure), but averaging into losers compounds decay. The issue isn't prediction accuracy — it's risk management. One big loss ($559.99) nearly wipes eight average wins ($338 × 8 = $2.7K theoretical profit, minus actual $260 remaining). Low risk level classification doesn't match the damage.
Currently holding 7 open positions on a $260 bankroll after 33 trades over ~330 days (0.1 trades per day). The account is bleeding slow. Portfolio value suggests scaling down hard after realizing the edge trap: high win rate without proper position sizing is just slow bankruptcy with extra steps. Not everyone survives the drawdown, and kekweis is mid-collapse.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru or check other top Polymarket traders to see how real prediction market analytics separate survivors from cautionary tales.
conservativeRisk: low