discombobulated-chicken
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discombobulated-chicken is a Polymarket wallet profile with $4.9K PnL, $687.4K total volume, a 58.7% win rate, and activity across 291 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet that deposited a tiny amount, ran 318 trades across 291 markets, and still sits at just $4.9K PnL — a brutal reminder that Polymarket strategy is about survival, not lottery tickets.
Discombobulated-chicken Polymarket trader, ranked #22,214, is a "diversified" medium-risk grinder with a 58.7% win rate and a microscopic 0.72% ROI across 291 markets. This isn't a whale — it's a mercenary running 2.9 trades per day, averaging $432 per bet, with a buy-to-sell ratio of 4.0 (heavily buying yes positions). Opened the Polymarket wallet checker expecting a degenerate gambler, found a disciplined noise farmer.
The edge is math over gut. No single home run bets — max win $5,133 on "Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?" — but also a max loss of $6,734 on "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?" that crushed months of gains. The core hack? Survive the drawdowns. Most traders with this frequency blow up. He hasn't.
Current open positions: 291 markets, portfolio value $5,044. That $4.9K PnL after 318 trades means he's basically break-even with volatility. Not everyone survives the grind — retail chases 10x headlines, discombobulated-chicken runs the numbers. Polymarket win rate of 58% is decent, but without a killer edge in one niche, he's a professional grinder, not a legend.
Check Polymarket wallet analytics or other top Polymarket traders with Predicts.guru — but don't confuse volume ($687K) with alpha.
diversifiedRisk: medium