0xF9885Da150836378ce5689395FF4d194683fd63B-1767719836281
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0xF9885Da150836378ce5689395FF4d194683fd63B-1767719836281 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $170.3K PnL, $8.8M total volume, a 82.4% win rate, and activity across 1119 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0xF9885Da150836378ce5689395FF4d194683fd63B: The 82.4% Win Rate Specialist Who Turned $94K Into Negative Territory
0xF9885Da150836378ce5689395FF4d194683fd63B Polymarket trader sits at rank 13,491 with a stat line that screams "high-conviction noise farmer": 82.4% win rate across 444 trades, but -59% ROI on deposits — the kind of split that means you're winning small and losing big.
This is a specialist degen. The wallet opened 412 different markets in what appears to be a 19-day sprint, averaging 23.2 trades per day. Buy-to-sell ratio of 211:1 tells you everything: he's not scalping, he's accumulating thesis positions and holding them through resolution. Low risk designation, sub-$1.2K average entry per trade, and the volume ($2.98M) shows pure conviction in frequency over size.
The edge hack is elementary: chase basketball noise. 79% of his 444 Polymarket trades landed green, which sounds impossible until you realize he's trading the tightest NBA matchups where line movement kills retail faster than a flash crash. His best single trade snagged $29.5K on Jazz vs. Heat (2026-02-10), but the worst trade punched him for -$11.6K on Cavaliers vs. Nuggets (2026-02-10) same day. That drawdown risk is baked in: even with a 79% Polymarket win rate, asymmetric position sizing kills your PnL.
The real story? $94K deposited, $27.1K withdrawn, $6.2K total PnL closed. The wallet burned -59% on capital because he's still holding 403 open positions — $11.5K portfolio value sitting on NBA props that either spike or vanish. This Polymarket trader is grinding the hardest edge available to prediction market degens: sports lines move on retail sentiment, not math. He's a volume machine who found a niche (basketball matchup squares) and executed with discipline.
Current reality check: he's underwater on deposits but profitable on closed positions ($6.2K net). The -59% ROI reflects open position drawdown, not strategy failure. Whether those 403 open positions recover depends on whether his noise-farming thesis survives the next wave of Jazz vs. Heat (2026-02-10) volatility. Top Polymarket traders survive luck; this one's relying on it.
whaleRisk: low