Bilz
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Bilz is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$1.6K PnL, $109.6K total volume, a 21.8% win rate, and activity across 218 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Bilz (0xf62563d5e09b2ac0305d1e0966439bc98a299d5d) Polymarket trader turned a $3,056 deposit into a $1,605 net loss, a -50.57% ROI — making him a data point that confirms Polymarket success isn't guaranteed for anyone, especially when you hit a 21.8% win rate.
Bilz is a "diversified" trader on the Polymarket leaderboard sitting at rank #2,646,466 — basically entry-level territory — who's taken 232 trades and blown over $1,000 of his starting stack. His edge? None visible. He buys high, sells low, and keeps buying. His Polymarket wallet analytics reveal a buy/sell ratio of 1.84x — meaning he buys more than he closes. That's textbook gambling, not edge.
Proof is ugly but honest: best trade was a +$309 on "Backpack FDV above one day after launch?", but his worst single trade was -$405 on "Meteora FDV above one day after launch?". One win gets erased by a slightly bigger loss. That's the math of a 21.8% win rate Polymarket trader trying to gamble his way out. He trades 2.5 times per day, small $22.69 average size, but the pattern is death by a thousand paper cuts.
What separates Bilz from degens who lose faster? Nothing really. Low risk label (portfolio value: $15.26 left) just means he stopped trying. He withdrew $1,495 already, so the math is: deposit $3,056, withdraw $1,495, lose $1,605 sitting in open positions. That's a net -50.57% ROI on deposits. He's not farming noise or arbitraging liquidations — he's directional betting meme coin FDV markets and losing consistently.
Right now, Bilz holds 22 open positions with zero liquidity signal — could be sitting on hope or trash. Realism check: this is a cautionary paper trader, not alpha.
Want to avoid becoming Bilz? Track his mistakes and your own edge using a Polymarket wallet checker like Predicts.guru — or check the real top Polymarket traders before depositing a cent.
diversifiedRisk: low