0xf5d796c509660630d5b30f2e551b5b49782bd5b2
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0xf5d796c509660630d5b30f2e551b5b49782bd5b2 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $46 PnL, $14.1K total volume, a 75.4% win rate, and activity across 850 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
HOOK
0xf5d796c509660630d5b30f2e551b5b49782bd5b2 — a Polymarket trader running 75.4% win rate across 862 trades while sitting at -17.64% ROI, proving that accuracy without position sizing is just expensive noise collection.
IDENTITY
Rank 276,486. Conservative trader type. Low risk classification. This wallet trades weather markets obsessively — 850 different markets touched, averaging 52 trades per day. The data reads like someone who found a statistical edge and then buried it under sheer volume.
STRATEGY
High-frequency micro-position scaling on binary outcomes with near-coin-flip pricing. Buy cheap (0.86 average entry), sell incrementally, repeat. The edge hack: understand that 75% accuracy on tiny positions across noisy markets doesn't compound — it leaks. The wallet treats Polymarket like a slot machine that pays 75% of pulls but takes bigger amounts.
PROOF
$14.1K total volume. $202 deposited. Currently holding $31.35 portfolio value against $67 net transfers. Best single trade pulled $19.63 on Highest temperature in Paris on March 25? — worst trade torched -$12.50 on a Madrid temperature call. That's a spread that tells the real story: high accuracy, inconsistent position management. 846 closed positions, 16 still open.
EDGE
The Polymarket wallet analytics show discipline most degenerates lack. 2.98 buy-to-sell ratio means this trader isn't just yoloing entries — they're building positions intentionally. Win rate sits real clean at 75.44%. But here's where it breaks: average trade size of $2.12 across 862 trades means even at 75% accuracy, a few $12-$20 losses crater the PnL. This is a Polymarket whale in terms of frequency, not capital. Check Polymarket wallet data and you'll see the pattern repeats: high-frequency traders with positive accuracy often fight ROI because they're competing on speed in markets that reward conviction instead.
NOW
862 positions still running. Down $156 lifetime against $202 deposited. The math is brutal: you can be right 75% of the time on Polymarket and still lose money if the 25% you're wrong hits harder. This wallet shows the prediction market analytics grind — accurate, disciplined, underwater. Not everyone survives the drawdown from high-frequency noise arbitrage.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to watch how conservative positioning handles extended losing runs.
conservativeRisk: low