-AL-
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-AL- is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$22.9K PnL, $9.5M total volume, a 67.4% win rate, and activity across 489 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet that somehow managed a negative ROI on nearly $10 million in volume — meet -AL-, the Polymarket whale who turned $84,620 in deposits into a -$22.9K PnL. This -AL- Polymarket trader is currently ranked #2,726,712 by total PnL.
Here's the brutal reality: 67.4% win rate across 490 trades, but still down 25.4% on deposits. How? The math doesn't lie — when you average $674 per bet at an average entry price of 0.72, you're mostly buying the narrative that's already priced in. Retail chases headlines, this trader farms volume.
Strategy — Spread betting on 489 different markets with a 1.20 buy-to-sell ratio. That's not edge, that's grinding. Best trade hit +$2,211 on Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets. Worst trade cratered -$1,860 on Blackhawks vs. Blues (2025-10-16).
The Edge — Low risk profile on paper, but 121 open positions suggests someone who can't admit when a thesis is off. $21,528 still sitting in the wallet across open positions. With only $35.14 in free balance, most of the capital is currently locked.
Now — 4.7 trades per day, still active across multiple markets. But the realism check: net transfers out of $63,091 vs $84,620 deposited means this trader has already pulled most of their initial capital. The remaining $21,528 is playing with house money — or what's left of it.
Bottom line — A whale who managed to generate nearly $10 million in Polymarket volume while losing money. That's not a strategy, that's a hustle. Retail chasing this wallet on Polymarket wallet checkers would see the volume first and miss the PnL.
Track this and other sobering examples with a Polymarket wallet checker at Predicts.guru — because not every wallet with big numbers is printing.
whaleRisk: low