Arisham
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Arisham is a Polymarket wallet profile with $140.6K PnL, $2.6M total volume, a 78.0% win rate, and activity across 320 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Arisham Polymarket trader opened his wallet to 94k in losses and somehow sits on a 78% win rate. This wallet is a paradox, and it starts with a single wallet that has deposited $119k, withdrawn only $24k, and is still sitting on a net PnL of $140.6K — but the portfolio barely holds {portfolioValue} in value. How the fuck is that real?
Ranked #4370 by profit, Arisham is a sniper — high-risk, high-frequency, trading 320 markets with a blistering 21.4 trades per day. The identity reads like a hybrid of esports degenerate and low-cap scientist. His best trade? A $13.9k score on LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs (2026-07-18). His worst? A $140.6K profit on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs (2026-07-17). That's a 3.3x better win than loss in average size.
The edge? He's not just clicking buttons — his buy/sell ratio of 2.94 means he's absorbing massive slippage or front-running noise in niche esports event lines. A 78% win rate on 6 closed trades but a -75% ROI on total deposits paints a grim picture: the closed wins are small, the open positions are bleeding, and the net transfers scream "deposit chaser" vibes. This is high-risk, high-intention, low-exit discipline.
Right now he holds 5 open positions across esports and other volatile markets. The realism check? A 78% win rate is a red flag in prediction markets — either he's unrealized PnL heavy or the sample size is lying. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
Want to check Polymarket wallet analytics and see if this sniper regime holds up? Track Arisham's wallet on Predicts.guru or use any Polymarket wallet checker to watch the unwind.
whaleRisk: medium