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Trader Overview
HOOK
pidarasAllIn (0xf10831c27de29dd9e13cf8440d88ca4e83f2e0ac) Polymarket trader turned -$80 destroyer: won 98.78% of 84 trades, somehow ended down $80.32 on an $81.75 deposit—the clearest example of how prediction markets punish even perfect execution when sizing is broken.
IDENTITY
Rank 1,846,086. Conservative trader type. High-volume degen energy disguised as discipline: 63.2 trades per day across 84 markets in what looks like a 24-48 hour sprint. The win rate reads like a bot's scorecard. The PnL reads like a warning.
STRATEGY
pidarasAllIn Polymarket trader plays the ultra-short Bitcoin Up or Down 5-minute windows—microsecond timing bets on price direction in the tightest timeframes Polymarket offers. Entry price averaging 0.9679 (buying near certainty), position sizing ~$46 per trade. Pure noise collection: scalping pennies on binary flips, banking on high-frequency edge in illiquid micro-markets.
The edge hack? Velocity masquerading as skill. Sixty-three trades daily means hitting the market before it prices in vol. Until one trade doesn't. Best single win: +$7.97 on Bitcoin Up or Down. Worst single loss: -$83.09 on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET. That one trade erased 101% of starting capital. Win rate doesn't matter when risk-reward is inverted.
PROOF
98.78% win rate Polymarket trader across 84 trades. Total volume $4,401. Conservative risk label. Only 2 open positions remain; 82 closed. ROI on deposits: -100%. The math is brutal: deposit $81.75, extract $0, hold -$80.32 in realized losses. One Polymarket whale he is not.
EDGE
pidarasAllIn has no edge. He has volume masquerading as an edge. High-frequency noise collection works until it doesn't—one misprediction on a 5-minute Bitcoin flip costs more than 10 winning trades generate. The buy-sell ratio of 84 (all buys) suggests zero hedging discipline. Conservative trader type label is a joke when your worst loss is your entire bankroll.
NOW
Two positions still open. Zero withdrawals taken. This looks less like a Polymarket strategy and more like a brief account baptism in prediction market physics: even 98% accuracy dies instantly against position sizing that treats all trades identically. Not everyone survives the first drawdown.
conservativeRisk: low