auracabal
Loading wallet statistics...
auracabal is a Polymarket wallet profile with $153 PnL, $14.0K total volume, a 96.0% win rate, and activity across 2456 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
auracabal (0xf0e1ac564358d53d9ac9988ea6bbdb667c34110d) Polymarket trader runs a 96% win rate on 411 trades across 2,456 markets — but walked into a -68.97% ROI pit that makes you wonder if edge without sizing is just slow rope.
The setup looks pristine on paper. auracabal trades conservative, hits nearly 9 in 10 calls, averages 2.4 trades per day on $2.49 micro-bets, and has the discipline most Polymarket whales fake. Rank 344598 doesn't scream leaderboard, but the trader type classifier pegs this as textbook low-risk operator. Top trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET pulled $153.3 profit. Worst trade in esports (Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs) cost $7.80. That asymmetry right there — winning 89.51% but bleeding portfolio value — reveals the actual edge hack: this is noise collection with zero position management.
Here's the contrasts that kill: deposited $25.63, withdrew $6.94, left $1.01 live portfolio. That's not whale behavior. That's a micro-account playing 410 different markets like a prediction market slot machine. The buy-sell ratio of 24.47 suggests panic exits or scale-in-scale-out churn. Win rate this high on tiny size means auracabal probably nailed volatility perception or sentiment timing, but the negative ROI on deposits tells you sizing discipline collapsed somewhere between conviction and execution. Conservative label fits the bet structure, not the outcomes.
Current state: 1 open position, sitting on $1.01 liquid, already -68.97% YTD. This isn't a trader with an edge living it — this is someone who found an edge on paper, proved it worked tactically, then got murdered by the game's hardest lesson: position sizing kills perfect prediction more than bad prediction does.
Check this wallet on Polymarket wallet analytics tools like Predicts.guru to see how prediction market discipline separates winners from warning signs.
conservativeRisk: low