maxgreen
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maxgreen is a Polymarket wallet profile with $379.4K PnL, $3.1M total volume, a 100.0% win rate, and activity across 144 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
maxgreen (0xefddbb135e2cc2648e3ca6a6b3d4fa4994d5017f) Polymarket trader just turned a 100% win rate into a -48% drawdown in under a month — zero losing trades, somehow still down $75k on a $156k deposit.
Name: maxgreen. Rank 2396. Trader type: sniper. The profile screams surgical precision — 19 total trades across 19 different markets, 1.7 trades per day, 100% hit rate on closed positions. But here's where it breaks: portfolio sits at $80k after deposits of $156k. Pure contradiction.
The edge hack is dead simple. maxgreen snipes single-outcome sports bets at exact entry prices (averaging 0.475 — dead center of the range, not chasing). Buy, hold, collect. No churn. The math looked bulletproof: 17 buys versus 1 sell ratio means this is a pure accumulation play. Win every single trade. Get rich, right? Except Polymarket's favorite joke is that being right on picks doesn't mean being right on sizing.
Proof lives in the data. Best single trade pulled $15,500 on Red Wings vs. Flyers (2026-04-02), a clean hockey snipe. Average trade size runs $4,898, which sounds reasonable until you realize 7 open positions are currently bleeding into that -48% ROI number. The worst realized loss hit $1,066 on Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees (2026-04-10), but that's the only closed loss in the entire book — which means the real damage is sitting in unrealized drawdown on those 11 open bets.
What separates maxgreen from 99% prediction market degens: discipline on entry (always hitting that mid-range price), niche focus (sports outcomes only), and refusing to panic-sell winners. Medium risk profile, which is honest. But here's the "how is this real" part — a Polymarket trader with perfect execution on picks still got obliterated because holding open positions through volatility is a different game than picking winners.
Currently running $80.3k portfolio with $80.3k in open exposure across sports markets. No withdrawals since launch. Not everyone survives the drawdown, and maxgreen is learning that live right now.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru or track other top Polymarket traders to see how snipers handle the gap between win rate and actual PnL.
whaleRisk: medium