0xeF929C96B5cF9bC041A7B68A1c4C635DE999f133-1773784837380
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0xeF929C96B5cF9bC041A7B68A1c4C635DE999f133-1773784837380 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$204 PnL, $103.5K total volume, a 61.2% win rate, and activity across 3282 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet that turned $3,567 into a negative-99.58% ROI over 450 trades — 0xeF929C96B5cF9bC041A7B68A1c4C635DE999f133 is the Polymarket trader whose PnL looks like a controlled demolition.
Identity: A conservative trader who somehow traded 3,282 markets across tennis, politics, and everything else. 450 closed positions, zero open. Multiplier from hell: the account went in with $3,567 and the Polymarket wallet checker will show you the carnage.
Strategy: Extremely low stakes. Average trade size is $4.53. He buys at 61 cents average entry. And here's the edge hack that didn't work: he's buying favorites. The buy/sell ratio is 2.61 — meaning every sale was paired with 2.6 buys. He's playing the "favorite bias" pattern. Retail chases the red, he farms the noise. But on Polymarket, the noise doesn't pay.
Proof: 61.2% win rate on 3,282 markets. Sounds like a winner until you see the math. He wins 61% of the time and still loses -$203.7. Why? Because his best trade — Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmic — brought in $38.49, while his worst trade, the Struff vs Michelsen match, drained $40.47. The spread is almost perfectly symmetrical. The edge case is the limit. $103.5K volume and he still can't outrun a $4.50 average bet. Trades per day at 52.8 — that's not trading, that's an autopilot.
EDGE: The real skill here is volume without conviction. Most degens blow up from overbetting. He blew up from under-scaling. There's no infrastructure, no bot edge — it's the definition of a grinding win rate against an asymmetric payout structure. On Polymarket, winning 61% of the time on short-odds favorites is a fast way to end up with -$203.7. He mastered math over gut — but the math said he was going to bleed out slowly.
NOW: No open positions. -$203.7. The realism check: this wallet is a graveyard of small-bet micro-losses. A $203.7 loss on deposits is an exit, not a drawdown. The account is effectively dead.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to see how fast a "conservative" strategy turns into a full-flee scenario — or check out other traders who survived the grind.
conservativeRisk: medium