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Luciana is a Polymarket wallet profile with $103 PnL, $15.1K total volume, a 35.7% win rate, and activity across 36 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Luciana Polymarket trader turned a $8,514 volume into $106 PnL with a 37% win rate — moving slow, staying diversified, and somehow printing +$107 on one Nuggets trade while taking a $102 loss on hockey the same week.
Luciana sits at rank 200,100 on the Polymarket leaderboard as a diversified trader grinding 31 markets across sports and general categories. Not a whale. Not a bot. Just steady volume on 31 total trades over months, averaging $76.98 per entry and holding 1.25% ROI. The wallet whispers "patient" — 0.1 trades per day, 2-to-1 buy-sell ratio, open positions held across 4 markets right now.
Here's the edge hack: Luciana doesn't chase. She spreads risk like it's actually risk. The portfolio construction — diversified across 31 markets, medium risk level — reads like someone who learned early that concentration kills accounts. Entry price sits at 0.57, which means she's not panic-buying green candles or dumping at 0.10 desperation. She bought the middle, played the middle, and let math do the talking.
Proof lives in the specifics. Best trade: Nuggets vs. Heat (2025-01-18), up $107. Worst trade: Blue Jackets vs. Islanders (2025-01-21), down $102. Both in the same week. That's the Polymarket wallet checker reality — you can nail a play and still get schooled on noise.
What separates Luciana from 99% degens: discipline beats frequency. While retail chases 50 trades a week hunting the one moon shot, she's doing 0.1 per day and actually closing 27 positions. Win rate sits at 37% — below coin flip — but she stays solvent. Her max single win equals her max single loss ($107 vs $102), which means position sizing is locked in. No emotional blow-ups. No "oh I'll just double down".
Current snapshot: 4 open positions cooking, 27 trades closed, medium risk appetite. The caveat: a 37% win rate Polymarket trader survives only because avg winners likely match avg losers. One wrong bet sequence and the account bleeds. Not everyone survives the drawdown when variance flips.
Track wallet 0xee2864408d281926834e523e4209d472da940f27 on Predicts.guru or use any Polymarket wallet analytics tool to watch how slow-and-steady actually plays out in prediction market PnL.
diversifiedRisk: medium