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retriscavadeira is a Polymarket wallet profile with $178.8K PnL, $2.2M total volume, a 56.0% win rate, and activity across 127 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
A trader with a "56% win rate" and $178K PnL should be a guru. Open retriscavadeira (0xee0bc...e6d4) on a Polymarket wallet checker and you see that 44% loss rate hides a brutal reality.
IDENTITY: Rank #894 retriscavadeira Polymarket trader. Whale tier. Sports betting specialist — 127 markets, mostly EPL soccer futures.
STRATEGY: Massive position sizing on binary sports outcomes. Buys heavy favorites (avg entry 44¢) and holds through volatility. Core hack: uses size to push through unfavorable spreads, betting the law of large numbers covers the juice.
PROOF: $2.16M total volume across 151 trades. Average trade size is $3,605 — that's whale territory. Hit a $35,588 max win on "Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?" But got crushed for -$15,414 on Aston Villa. Buy/sell ratio is 3.04 — heavy directional bias, almost never hedging.
EDGE: Pure conviction conviction. No bot, no arb, no noise collection. Just "I think Man City wins, I put $50K on it" energy. The 8.28% ROI over 1.5 trades/day for months suggests disciplined entry timing, not luck.
NOW: One open position. Portfolio value sitting at $102 — most capital already realized. Risk level medium, but that max loss of -$15K on a single bet shows what happens when the "sure thing" doesn't hit. Looks like a recreational whale with real sports knowledge, not a survival machine.
READERS can track retriscavadeira's next move on Predicts.guru — or sob check your own portfolio against other top Polymarket traders on the leaderboard.
whaleRisk: medium