0xECdBa2099Ca9326F097b745Fc9083E51De54C3b4-1771598167520
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0xECdBa2099Ca9326F097b745Fc9083E51De54C3b4-1771598167520 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$113 PnL, $39.8K total volume, a 98.9% win rate, and activity across 2041 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
0xECdBa2099Ca9326F097b745Fc9083E51De54C3b4 Polymarket Trader Just Posted 98.9% Win Rate On 660 Trades While Sitting Negative $11.28 In Total PnL
Meet the statistical anomaly nobody's talking about. This Polymarket trader crushed a 98.9% win rate across 660 total trades — that's elite accuracy by any prediction market standard. Yet the wallet sits at negative -$112.8 PnL while holding $183.91 in current portfolio value. How? The math reveals everything.
The edge is pure conservative execution. Averaging $1.53 per trade with a 2.53:1 buy-to-sell ratio, this is someone who scalps noise for pennies. Deposited $95.03, withdrew $12.57, and ran 12.1 trades per day across 658 different markets — basically a market-scraping bot hunting micro-inefficiencies. The portfolio sits 3 open positions deep right now, meaning they're playing 134 simultaneous small-cap markets simultaneously. Best single win: $5.39 on Atlanta temperature predictions. Worst loss: negative $5.00. That tight range proves discipline, not luck.
But here's the jaw-drop reality check: a 90.45% Polymarket win rate generating negative returns tells you something harsh about edge. Each trade wins small. Each loss stings proportionally bigger because of the 2.5:1 buy ratio — they're overweighting positions that ultimately bleed. ROI shows 106.75% on deposits, meaning the $95 turned into $183.91 in current portfolio value, which reads clean until you ask: why are they net negative in PnL while theoretically doubled their deposit? The answer is fees, slippage, and market exits that didn't match entry thesis. This is what happens when accuracy meets poor position sizing.
Conservative trader classification is spot-on. Risk level sits low. But the 3 open positions suggest they're holding through volatility on bets that aren't panning out individually — they're just not big enough losses to tank the account yet. The Atlanta temperature trade pattern (best and worst trades both on the same market category) hints they farm repeatable micro-events where the book is slow.
This wallet proves one rule: prediction market win rate means almost nothing without PnL confirmation. You can be right 90 times out of 100 and still lose money. Check this trader on Predicts.guru to watch how conviction changes when real pressure arrives.
conservativeRisk: low