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starbuck02 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $263.1K PnL, $11.9M total volume, a 65.9% win rate, and activity across 1207 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
starbuck02 (0xea7957606f259bcba522a4681494555547a7a9cc) is a Polymarket trader who deposited $295K, turned it into $307K in PnL, then somehow still sits at -1.96% ROI — the kind of wallet that proves you can be right 59% of the time and still bleed money on position sizing.
Rank #9016. Medium risk. 505 total trades across 749 markets, spinning 4.5 trades per day like a noise farmer working the chaos. Buy-sell ratio of 11.5:1 tells you starbuck02 loves chasing dip accumulation — all entry, minimal exit discipline. $1,198 average trade size. 58.91% win rate on a Polymarket trader profile that should be printing, but isn't.
The edge hack: volume arbitrage in thin markets. starbuck02 traded $6.5M total volume — serious whale money — but concentrated bets kill the thesis. Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11? flipped $28.6K. Then Seahawks vs. Patriots nuked $64K in one swing. That's the pattern: single wins feel huge, single losses obliterate them faster.
55 open positions right now. $298K portfolio value still breathing. The trap is obvious once you see it — Polymarket wallet checker data shows starbuck02 never withdraws (zero withdrawals ever), which means every loss gets reabsorbed and reinvested. It's emotional wallet management disguised as conviction. A Polymarket PnL tracker like Predicts.guru would flag this as "profitable on paper, drowning in execution risk."
Real talk: 4.5 trades daily across 749 markets means starbuck02 is farming noise, not signal. High-frequency on thin markets. Win rate stays strong because most Polymarket whale trades are tiny (+10% swings), but the asymmetric tail risk — that -$64K loss — shows zero position sizing discipline. Prediction market analytics don't care about win rate when your best wins get clawed back by one catastrophic bet.
Current state: treading water. Portfolio hasn't grown since deposits landed. Not liquidation-close, but the math is brutal — need 2% daily gains for 100 days just to recover. Most traders can't sustain that. Check what starbuck02 holds next on Predicts.guru and see if the open position sizing shifted, because if it hasn't, expect another crater soon.
whaleRisk: low