xiaopingan3565
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xiaopingan3565 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $4.5K PnL, $113.6K total volume, a 38.3% win rate, and activity across 375 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet started with $147 in deposits — and turned it into over $1,000 in withdrawals with $3,800 still sitting in play. That’s the xiaopingan3565 Polymarket trader story.
Meet xiaopingan3565. Rank #27,967 by total PnL, but ranked near-invisible on Polymarket’s leaderboard. Trader type: diversified. Low risk label — but the numbers say otherwise: 45.6 trades per day, 158 total trades across 375 markets. That’s not a degen with a thesis — that’s a script or a very disciplined hand.
Strategy: High-frequency, low-edge farming. Average trade size: $39.66. Average entry price: $0.81 (almost always buying the underdog). The edge hack? Buy cheap out-of-favor outcomes at sub-$1, wait for the noise to shift, sell into panic when the narrative flips. Not predicting the future — betting that retail overcorrects on low-probability markets.
Proof: 38.3% win rate — which looks awful until you realize the avg winning trade ($103) is 3x the avg losing trade ($39). That’s pure expected value math. His best single trade: Highest temperature in Seoul on May 22? (2026-05-22) for +$103. Worst: Highest temperature in Seoul on May 13? (2026-05-13) for -$205 (one bad overreaction). Biggest win matches his biggest loss — same category, same error range.
Edge: mathematical discipline over gut. A buy/sell ratio of 3.17:1 means he’s a net buyer every time — never fading himself. Most whales lose because they can’t stop trading when underwater. This wallet just keeps buying cheap tickets.
Now: Nine open positions live. Portfolio value: $1,250. Risk is low on paper — but any 40%+ win rate with 45 trades/day means one bad hour can erase weeks of grinding. Looks like free money until you have to sit through the drawdown.
Track this wallet live on Predicts.guru to see if the script holds or the house wins. One wallet, 375 markets, and a math problem that’s still being solved.
diversifiedRisk: low