Baseball
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Baseball is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$459 PnL, $2.2K total volume, a 75.0% win rate, and activity across 19 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Baseball deposited $470 — and after 8 trades, the wallet sits at zero. This is the Polymarket wallet checker profile everyone needs to study, not because Baseball crushed it, but because the edge is real even when the PnL says otherwise.
Who is Baseball? A sniper ranked 2,817,537, focused on NFL game outcomes with a 75% win rate on 8 closed positions. Small stakes — $28 avg trade size — across 19 markets, zero withdrawals, 100% ROI on deposits… heading south.
Strategy: Baseball only bets on event winners — no spreads, no props, just straight "who wins." The edge? Timing. Avg entry at $0.55, so they're buying the favorite after the line moves, not before. They chase consensus late and pray the odds don't crash. It's a simple math hack: win 75% of the time at even odds, you're up — but Baseball's losses were 14.99 and gains 25.49. The math says +$10 per trade, but the wallet says -$459. Why? They kept depositing and never withdrawing. The PnL bleed is all downside from one bad streak.
Proof: Best trade was Steelers vs. Bengals (2024-12-01) for $25.49 — a clean read on late liquidity. Worst was Dolphins vs. Packers losing $14.99, probably fading the final money.
Edge vs. degens: Discipline. Baseball doesn't revenge trade. They have 8 closed positions, 19 markets browsed — that's intense filtering. Most people open 19 markets and lose in 40. Baseball picks 8, wins 6. The issue? They never sized down on the losing trades. That's the real lesson: win rate is nothing without risk management.
Now: Zero open positions, zero balance. The wallet is quiet. Either Baseball ragequit after the drawdown or they're regrouping. The risk caveat is brutal — a 75% win rate can still wreck you if the losses are fat enough.
Track [[0xe6e6d72b83ddd8b1d095f95b1b6a736e53aced6a]Polymarket trader on Predicts.guru for real-time prediction market analytics — this wallet is a case study in why Polymarket PnL is not the same as Polymarket strategy.
sniperRisk: medium