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holtayana460 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$426 PnL, $16.0K total volume, a 5.7% win rate, and activity across 46 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet with a 6.67% win rate that somehow still shows a +79.61% ROI on deposits — meet holtayana460, the Polymarket trader who proves losing most bets can still print money.
holtayana460 is a ranked #2,518,827 diversified Polymarket trader with just $423 total PnL but a +79.61% ROI on $455 in total deposits. The math looks broken until you check the trades.
Strategy: small, high-probability single-event picks with massive skew. They take 39 trades across 41 markets, average trade size just $69, but their buy-sell ratio sits at 1.75 — meaning they mostly target "Yes" shares they expect to converge fast. The win rate is brutal (6.67%), but the wins are concentrated on heavily mispriced outcomes. Their best trade? Red Wings vs. Kings for +$23.86. Their worst? Canucks vs. Kraken (2025-01-03) losing -$121.89, a single loss that is 5x their best win.
Edge: disciplined sizing and volatility farming on NHL game lines. They're not picking winners — they're picking value when the implied probability is clearly wrong from opening. The portfolio sits at just $783.60 with 9 open positions. Total deposits were $455, total withdrawals only $33.76 — meaning most capital is still working. Risk level is "low" but the max single loss ($121.89) could wreck this entire strategy in one night if the model is wrong.
Now: still holding 9 open positions in NHL markets. The recent drawdown is real — the last few trades look like the model hit a cold streak. Not everyone survives this variance.
Track holtayana460's wallet on Predicts.guru to see if the 6.67% win trader can keep defying probability — or just use their Polymarket wallet analytics to learn more about the grind.
diversifiedRisk: low