Luck-Pig
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Luck-Pig is a Polymarket wallet profile with $148.3K PnL, $2.1M total volume, a 97.8% win rate, and activity across 164 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Luck-Pig Polymarket trader turned $92K into $118K with a 97.8% win rate across 97 trades — then immediately yanked $104K out, sitting on $13.8K portfolio and net losses, proof that even the sharpest edges crumble when you stop playing.
Luck-Pig ranks 3705 on Polymarket leaderboard as a whale-tier operator. Total PnL: $26,055. Win rate: 98.04%. The numbers scream discipline until you look at the cash flow — deposited $92K, withdrew $104K, netted negative $12K, which means this Polymarket trader either lost faith in their own edge or got spooked by drawdown reality. Either way, the story flipped hard.
Strategy is dead simple: spray $5,289 average bet size across 96 different markets, 3.1 trades per day, hunting binary edges in sports mostly. Buy-to-sell ratio of 26.5 means Luck-Pig locks conviction hard — once in, they hold for payout. No panic flipping, no scalp culture. That discipline shows in the 97.8% win rate, which is statistically inhuman for any Polymarket whale touching 97 total trades. The best trade hit $18,021.86 on SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach. Worst single loss: -$5,008.97 on Pelicans vs. 76ers (2026-02-01). The ratio tells you they're not revenge-trading — they take the L and move.
What separates this prediction markets player from 99% degens: entry discipline. Average entry price sits at 0.5148, dead center, which means Luck-Pig doesn't chase 0.9 runners or fish 0.1 trash. They buy fair value and let probability work. 91 closed positions means they're not bag-holding — exits are structured, not emotional. ROI of 28.23% on deposits is crushing for Polymarket short timeframe unless you're arbing noise or have infrastructure most retail doesn't touch.
The catch: this Polymarket trader is not currently playing. $13.8K portfolio, 74 open positions gathering dust, $12K in net outflows signals either a cold vault or someone who got humbled by execution risk. Win rate doesn't survive market impact when you're moving real size. The edge might be real — the staying power clearly isn't.
whaleRisk: medium