ndasmdsam
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ndasmdsam is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$58 PnL, $1.3M total volume, a 92.0% win rate, and activity across 115 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet that flipped through 1.2M in volume with a 92% win rate — and still lost money. ndasmdsam Polymarket trader is the most humbling wallet on the leaderboard.
Meet ndasmdsam. Ranked #2,407,725, but don't let that scare you. This whale moves like a ghost — low risk tolerance, 115 markets touched, and a win rate most top Polymarket traders would pay for.
Strategy? Simple. Buy YES on near-certain outcomes. That's it. No panic arbitrage, no noise farming, no bots. Just cold math on probabilities that already sit at 87-95%. His avg entry price hovers around 0.875 — he's not hunting lottery tickets, he's collecting nickels in front of a steamroller. And it worked. 50 closed positions, 92% hit rate, max single win of $140.99 on Mix vs. Wiklacz.
The edge? It's not skill — it's discipline. While other degens chase 10x on meme elections, he's buying the equivalent of "water is wet" at 90 cents. His buy-sell ratio is 13.1:1, which tells you he's a buyer of consensus, not a seller of doubt. But here's the sick part: -$57.7. Negative. Because his one bad trade — Aleo airdrop in Q2 2025? — was a $57.7 loss, but his winners were also capped. He's playing the game with 99% accuracy on tiny margins and 1% accuracy on risk management. The math just doesn't math.
What separates him from 99% of degens? He never blows up. 92% win rate with 53 total trades and a low risk profile means he's the guy who'd rather make $50 a day than risk $500 for $5,000. Not everyone survives the drawdown — but at 0.2 trades per day, he's barely even in the game.
Right now he's holding 3 open positions worth ~$18.85, sitting on a negative PnL that looks like a slow bleed more than a cliff dive. Looks like free money until you try to exit a position that's already priced in.
If you want to see why 92% win rate doesn't pay rent, track ndasmdsam on Predicts.guru or fire up their Polymarket wallet checker to find the next trap before he does.
whaleRisk: low