cqs
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cqs is a Polymarket wallet profile with $647.2K PnL, $14.6M total volume, a 64.6% win rate, and activity across 374 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
cqs Polymarket trader turned $890K in deposits into $1.11M portfolio with a surgical 64.6% win rate across 372 trades — the kind of consistency that separates whale signal from noise.
CQS sits at rank 140 on the Polymarket leaderboard as a textbook low-risk whale. 78% ROI on deposits. 1.5 trades per day. 304 distinct markets touched. The profile screams discipline: this isn't a degen chasing moonshots. This is someone who understands that prediction markets reward edge that compounds quietly.
The edge: heavy specialization in geopolitical and macro prediction markets. His best trade clocked $91.8K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? — a market that demands real-time conviction, not guesswork. His worst loss sits at -$25.7K on third-party vote splitting, which actually proves the point: even his worst outcome is capped. Buy-to-sell ratio of 1.81 signals he's building positions and holding thesis conviction, not scalp-trading noise. Average trade size $5.8K keeps him sized appropriately for a $1.1M portfolio. That's execution discipline.
The math backs it: $647.2K PnL over what looks like steady accumulation. Daily trades averaging 1.5 means he's not drowning in data or chasing every market. He's selective. The 64.6% win rate Polymarket trader statistic matters more than volume — that's 250 winning trades against 122 losers. Volume ($12.3M) is secondary; consistency is primary. 81 open positions across 280 closed ones shows he runs a real portfolio, not a trading sim.
Where cqs differs from 99% Polymarket whales: he hasn't blown up on single conviction bets. Max single win $91.8K, max profit $647.2K — the ratio alone tells you someone's using position sizing as a weapon. Geopolitical markets demand thesis work most degens skip entirely. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 was exactly the kind of bet that separates signal from luck.
Current state: 81 open positions mean he's holding macro exposure into 2025. Net positive transfers of $414K after withdrawals suggests confidence in the thesis, not panic hedging. Risk level stays low because position discipline is locked in. Fair warning: 64.6% win rate still means 1 in 3 trades lose. The portfolio value is real, but prediction markets don't care about yesterday's PnL. One geopolitical black swan and conviction gets tested hard.
This is a Polymarket trader operating like a professional, not a gambler pretending to be one.
whaleRisk: low