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ns9z is a Polymarket wallet profile with $7.8K PnL, $620.8K total volume, a 49.2% win rate, and activity across 373 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
ns9z (0xdfa8ecae5f442d9d2b25bc24ba41e524dc39cae6) Polymarket trader burned $17.5k in real cash but cashed out exactly zero, currently sitting on -84.52% ROI with a portfolio worth $3.3k.
This is what happens when a conservative Polymarket trader with 64% win rate gets trapped. ns9z opened the wallet with $21.4k deposits, ran 130 trades across 124 markets, and somehow ended up down $17.5k net. The math breaks immediately: 64% accuracy should print money. Instead, the biggest single loss of -$4.5k on a League of Legends esports pick (LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2) wiped out four of his best wins. That's the true Polymarket whale trap right there.
The edge hack, if you can call it that: high-frequency noise farming. ns9z trades 14.6 times per day on average, scaling tiny bets ($392 average entry) across whatever has volume. Win rate looks clean until you check Polymarket wallet analytics and see position sizing is completely random — biggest single win ($1.2k) sits next to worst trade loss ($4.5k), same strategy, different coin flip. No risk management visible. He's running a buy-sell ratio of 14, meaning way more entries than exits, classic retail overtrading signal.
The real red flag: zero withdrawals ever. All $21.4k stayed deployed. When your Polymarket PnL tracker shows you down 84%, you're not "grinding it back" — you're drowning in a bad run with no escape hatch. The 9 open positions right now carry serious tail risk. His favorite assets skew toward esports (LOL markets are where the retail liquidity pools), which means he's chasing predictions where the real money already moved.
ns9z is a cautionary tale about prediction market analytics — high activity, positive accuracy, absolute disaster PnL. Check Polymarket wallet checker data and you'll see this pattern repeat. The risk level shows "medium" but the -84.52% ROI on actual deposits suggests the model missed something about drawdown psychology. Not everyone survives the sequence.
Track ns9z and other Polymarket traders on Predicts.guru to see how many conservative traders with solid win rates still crater their entire edge through position sizing chaos.
diversifiedRisk: medium