Bill10147 Polymarket Wallet
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Bill10147 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $164 PnL, $100.2K total volume, a 51.7% win rate, and activity across 1705 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Bill10147 Polymarket trader went full bot on 380 trades across 1,705 markets in weeks and somehow still managed to lose 77% while scalping five-minute Bitcoin candles like a man possessed.
Bill10147 sits at rank 163,893 on the Polymarket leaderboard, pure crypto bot energy running 300 trades per day. The wallet shows $163.56 total PnL on $29.7K deposits—crushing volume through micro-positions averaging $15.74 each, but that -77% ROI tells the whole story. Win rate holds steady at 51.7%, which should work on paper. It doesn't. Portfolio value dropped to $803.40 current holdings against $23.8K net capital pumped in.
The edge hack here is frequency disguised as strategy. Bill10147 scalps ultra-short Bitcoin prediction markets—five-minute windows, 95% buy orders, bot-level execution speed. The best trade pulled $189.93 on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET. The worst trade dumped -$262.55 just minutes earlier on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET. Noise collection on steroids—the bot chases tick volatility, expects market microstructure edges that evaporate instantly.
What separates Bill10147 from casual Polymarket whale traders isn't genius; it's pure automation. 330 open positions at once means zero human oversight. The entry price sits at 0.516 across markets, suggesting the bot buys dips in milliseconds. But here's the brutal math: 51.7% win rate needs tighter spreads than Polymarket's illiquid five-minute markets provide. Slippage kills the edge. The bot's max single loss (-$262.55) nearly equals its max win ($189.93), so every wrong call costs everything the last three right calls earned. This is the prediction market analytics reality most retail bots ignore—low win rate + high frequency = capital bleed.
Bill10147 still holds 330 open positions with portfolio value cratering. The bot keeps trading at 299.9 daily rate, which is the real signal: this Polymarket trader won't stop because stopping means admitting the strategy lost. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to watch how the bot adapts or check other Polymarket whale strategies on the leaderboard for smarter capital allocation.
crypto botRisk: medium