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Trader Overview
A perfect 100% win rate on 550 trades sounds like either a data anomaly or someone gaming position accounting—and DrPufferfish's actual numbers reveal the real edge.
DrPufferfish | Rank #15 | $4.32M PnL
This whale operates across 1,086 markets with a 100% win rate that technically shouldn't exist. The catch: 500 open positions dwarfs 50 closed ones, meaning most trades never resolve to loss. The math works if you're constantly rolling or stacking micro-wins across sports betting, political markets, and crypto futures simultaneously. Average trade size sits at $14.1K. Portfolio sits at $2.08M.
The real pattern emerges in the P&L distribution. Best single trade pulled $918K (Pacers vs. Knicks), worst trade cost $114. That 8,000x range suggests someone who sizes massive on high-conviction bets but caps downside religiously. Buy-to-sell ratio of 16.8:1 means this trader predominantly accumulates positions, averaging 6.8 trades per day. Volume of $139.5M across those 550 trades reflects serious capital deployment.
The edge here isn't mystical—it's discipline married to scale. DrPufferfish avoids the trap most whales fall into: taking equal-sized shots everywhere. Instead, they're building a barbell: micro-stakes on low-edge plays (containment), massive positions on high-confidence setups. The 100% win rate likely persists because they close small losers fast and let big winners run, then don't mark them down. That's not cheating—it's the compounding advantage of cash position sizing and exit discipline that separates $4.3M PnL players from lucky traders who bust back to zero.
Currently holding 500 open positions. The risk isn't the portfolio—it's concentration risk if one major category (sports, politics, crypto) suddenly turns toxic.
whaleRisk: medium