ceceliahoggarth
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ceceliahoggarth is a Polymarket wallet profile with $278 PnL, $15.3K total volume, a 100.0% win rate, and activity across 49 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Started with $1,312 deposited, walked away with $665 withdrawn and a -49% ROI — but this wallet still has a 100% win rate across 10 closed trades. That's not a mistake, that's ceceliahoggarth Polymarket trader playing a game most apes never even see.
ceceliahoggarth — rank #146,249, sniper type, net PnL of $277.8. Traded 49 markets across sports and crypto culture. Low risk label, but the stats tell a stranger story: 100% win rate on 10 closed positions, max single loss at $0.00. Not even one losing bet closed.
Strategy: Shoot tiny sniper bullets at extreme edge cases. Average trade size just $121. Average entry price near $0.73 — meaning they're buying yes on narratives already priced near certain. Then they close almost immediately. Trades per day: 0.1. That's one trade every 10 days. Patience is the real alpha here.
Proof: Best trade — Hawks vs. Spurs (2024-12-20) for $277.8 profit. But the worst trade is the real tell: "Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?" for $0.024 — a tiny win, not a loss. This wallet has never closed a red position. Either they're farming tiny edges with surgical precision or they're closing losers off-chain and only showing the hits. Either way, the Polymarket wallet analytics scream "structured risk management over gambling."
Edge: Discipline. Pure math over gut. Retail chases headlines and home runs — this trader takes singles, closes early, never lets a position rot. The buy/sell ratio of 1.56 suggests they're buying into momentum and selling into exits, not holding bags. They know that on Polymarket, the house doesn't win — the person who controls their exits does.
Now: 0 open positions. Wallet is effectively flat — $647 net transfer in, currently sitting at $0 balance. Either they're waiting for the next high-probability micro-edge or they've already extracted what they came for.
The realism check: -49% ROI on deposits isn't a brag. But 10-0 with zero drawdowns is something most Polymarket whales can't claim. You can check Polymarket wallet checker tools to track whether ceceliahoggarth reloads — or if this was a controlled burn with a perfect record.
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sniperRisk: low