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Trader Overview
HOOK
Felix.M (0xd8bafbb1ff607dfa98b1045acd9121fff551dbb4) is a Polymarket trader running 190+ trades per day across 23,077 markets — a crypto bot hemorrhaging $1,593 PnL on a $2,032 deposit after burning through 32,955 positions in pure noise-farm chaos.
IDENTITY
Rank 2,387,832. Felix.M is a crypto bot masquerading as a prediction market edge case. Low risk tolerance on paper. 56% win rate that doesn't matter. High-frequency scalp bot, not a trader.
STRATEGY
The bot farms Bitcoin micro-volatility markets — 12-minute, 15-minute, sub-hour intervals — betting the noise twitches one direction or the other. Entry logic: buy/sell ratio of 1.1x means slight long bias. Core edge: there is none. Speed execution on retail-shaped liquidity pools, but Polymarket's resolution lag and order book depth kill the arbitrage at scale. The bot expects to clip 1-2% on micro moves. Reality: bet sizing blows up, worst single loss is $131.98, and the algo can't escape the drawdown spiral.
PROOF
190.6 trades per day over 173 days (32,955 total trades across 23,077 distinct markets). Win rate 56% — statistically above 50-50, but $1,593 underwater. Average trade size $2.52. Best single trade: $13.20 (Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET). Worst: -$131.98 (March 24 Bitcoin micro). Net deposits $2,022.69, total withdrawals only $9.74. The bot is trapped, stuck holding $138.85 in portfolio value with 97 open positions rotting.
EDGE
None that survives execution. The bot has zero leakage filters — it's hitting every micro-volatility market on the books, no category specialization, no news correlation, no timing discipline. High-frequency on Polymarket is basically randomness with rent paid to the exchange. The 1.1x buy/sell ratio suggests the bot learned to trend follow or panic-chase momentum, but the math doesn't compound. Most crypto bots on prediction markets fail here: they optimize for winning frequency, not edge per unit deployed.
NOW
97 live positions, mostly dead money. The -92.69% ROI means Felix.M is essentially liquidation-watch waiting for the next micro-win to cover gas. Daily rate is $9.20 losers per day on average (1593/173 days). Not sustainable. Risk isn't "low" — it's zeroed out.
If you're wondering whether high-frequency prediction market bots actually work, Felix.M is the answer. Check the wallet on Predicts.guru or any Polymarket wallet analytics tool to watch the slow bleed in real time.
crypto botRisk: low