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tdrhrhhd is a Polymarket wallet profile with $2.4M PnL, $14.9M total volume, a 39.6% win rate, and activity across 68 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
tdrhrhhd (0xd7f85d0eb0fe0732ca38d9107ad0d4d01b1289e4) pulled $2.44M in pure profit on Polymarket with a 39.6% win rate—because timing the biggest political moment of 2024 beats being right most of the time.
Rank 37 whale. 68 total trades across 68 markets. Deposited $3.79M, pulled out $5.14M, left $339K sitting in portfolio. The math screams "one monster bet, exit plan executed." Best trade? $1.455M on Presidential Election Winner 2024. Worst? Lost only $43.9K on New York margin—risk discipline locked in.
Strategy is blunt: hold deep into conviction trades and let volatility compress. Buy/sell ratio 3.83 means this Polymarket trader sits tight, doesn't panic-flip. Average entry 0.677 probability—buying when prices are ugly, selling when they inflate. Low risk rating despite whale size because position sizing and conviction alignment matter more than raw volume. Trades roughly once a week (0.1 per day). No FOMO machine here.
The edge? Political markets reward patient capital allocation over news cycles. 2024 United States Presidential Election shaped the entire PnL statement—one $1.455M win dwarfs the next 67 trades combined. That's not luck, that's position-sizing discipline meeting macro timing. Polymarket wallet analytics show $14.9M total volume but only $18.5K average trade size—tight risk per bet. Win rate sits at 39.62%, which feels low until you realize the few winners paid 10-50x the avg loss. Classic whale asymmetry.
Currently holding 15 open positions across markets. ROI on deposits locked at 44.41%. Not everyone survives compounding that hard through 2024 United States Presidential Election chaos—volatility swings flatten undercapitalized traders. tdrhrhhd deposited enough to absorb drawdowns and built the edge on macro conviction + sizing discipline.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru's Polymarket leaderboard to watch how conviction trades compound when structured right.
whaleRisk: low