0xd49c...8150
Loading wallet statistics…
0xd49c...8150 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $440.2K PnL, $33.2M total volume, a 30.0% win rate, and activity across 208 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet that deposited $2.27M, then generated $700K on a single bet while still sitting at -49% ROI — meet the 0xd49c... trader, ranked #463 but running a bot that spits out 301 trades per day.
IDENTITY. This is a crypto_bot trader — rank #463 on the Polymarket leaderboard. They've traded 208 markets with 30% win rate across just 50 closed positions. The paradox? A perfect record on closed trades but a brutal -49.34% ROI on deposits.
STRATEGY. The edge is frequency + noise farming. At 301 trades per day, this isn't human decision-making — it's a script scraping micro-inefficiencies across the Democratic Nominee 2024 event and others. They buy low, sell slightly higher, often in seconds or minutes. $31.9M in total volume on $2.27M deposits means 14x turnover.
PROOF. Best trade: +$700,272 on the Democratic Nominee market — a massive single win that suggests they caught a mispriced shift in odds. But then came the worst trade on an unknown market: -$350,125. That $440.2K profit wiped out half the prior win. The buy/sell ratio of 22.1 confirms this is a net-buying bot, not an arbitrage hunter. They've pulled out $1.15M so far, leaving $1.12M net in.
EDGE. What separates this from 99% of degenerates is the discipline of pure math. No gut, no narrative — just the bot reading order book imbalances. The 30% win rate looks fake until you realize closed positions probably represent tiny scalp profits, while the real risk is in the massive open exposure they've already closed. Anyone can run a bot — not everyone survives the -49% drawdown.
NOW. Currently 0 open positions — the bot might be parked. With $2.27M deposited and $1.15M withdrawn, net PnL is $440.2K. The question: is this a paused strategy or a blown account? Either way, $700K in one trade is real alpha.
Track whether this bot restarts or exits for good on Predicts.guru — or check other Polymarket wallet analytics to see which whales are still live.
crypto botRisk: medium