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NiFengFanPan is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$29.1K PnL, $32.4M total volume, a 66.3% win rate, and activity across 8261 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
NiFengFanPan Polymarket trader runs a crypto bot that's flipped the script on what "consistent" means — 65.87% win rate across 7581 trades, but minus $21,925 total PnL and a brutal minus 37.75% ROI that exposes the harsh math of high-frequency prediction market grinding.
This is wallet 0xd48a81db62f742c4e42d86dfc23a7ee345366e90, rank 2563081, pure algorithmic execution. The bot trades 119.4 times per day across 7384 different markets — noise farming at scale. Average trade size is only $1,615, which means volume churn doesn't equal edge. Total volume sits at $23.1M, but that's liquidity movement, not profit generation.
The strategy is textbook bot behavior: high-frequency micro-positioning on low-conviction markets, riding volatility spreads and order-book imbalances. The win rate is genuinely solid at 65.87%, but the Polymarket wallet analytics tell the real story — that single best trade hit $33,993 on US government shutdown Saturday?, yet the worst trade crater down to minus $64,369 on US strikes Iran by...? (2026-06-30). That asymmetry kills profitability — few big losses wreck the entire edge.
Here's what separates NiFengFanPan from casual Polymarket traders: the infrastructure to execute thousands of positions daily without manual intervention. The discipline to stick to low-conviction trades. The math skills to build a bot that's technically profitable by hit rate but practically losing money because position sizing doesn't scale properly. This isn't user error — this is the raw prediction market risk where 65% accuracy with unbalanced reward-to-risk still bleeds deposits.
Current status: 221 open positions, $416K portfolio value against $710K total deposits. The buy-sell ratio of 38.68 shows heavy directional betting, which contradicts pure arbitrage. Low risk level designation is misleading — the bot manages volatility through position count, not through position size discipline.
The painful reality: NiFengFanPan proves that Polymarket win rate and prediction market leaderboard ranking can coexist with negative ROI. Check this wallet on Predicts.guru or your Polymarket wallet checker to see how high-frequency trading can win more often yet lose more money.
crypto botRisk: low