carrotset
Loading wallet statistics...
carrotset is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$53 PnL, $40.1K total volume, a 6.7% win rate, and activity across 121 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
HOOK
carrotset (0xd36e6de603b27f0b10627c58bd2087683be1d63e) Polymarket trader hit 49.6 trades per day chasing weather data, flipped $166 on one Paris temperature call—but got absolutely buried, sitting -$53.4 PnL across 121 trades with a 6.7% win rate that screams "retail chaos on steroids."
IDENTITY
carrotset is a diversified degener ranked 1,994,231 on the leaderboard. Medium risk, 121 markets touched, zero focus. The profile reads like someone who found Polymarket on a Tuesday and decided to solve prediction markets through pure volume.
STRATEGY
The edge hack here is... there isn't one. carrotset trades 121 positions daily on average, meaning they're spraying capital across whatever shows up on feed. Buy-sell ratio of 0.75 suggests they're slightly more often taking the short side, but that's not a strategy—that's pattern-matching noise. Weather markets, temperature forecasts, anything with a tick—they're in it.
PROOF
Started with what looks like a tiny initial deposit and ran 121 total trades across 121 different markets (maximum diversification = maximum confusion). Best single trade: $166 win on Highest temperature in Paris on March 30?. Worst: -$24.52 on Highest temperature in Ankara on March 30?. Average trade size $1.70. The math: 6.7% win rate on 121 trades means they're winning maybe 121 positions total. That $166 high is the only real lift in a red account.
EDGE
carrotset has no edge. This is what happens when someone mistakes volume for skill. The Polymarket wallet analytics scream shotgun approach—zero specialization, zero thesis, just high-frequency chaos hoping something sticks. Total PnL -$53.4 ROI on $40.1K volume tells the full story.
NOW
46 open positions still live. Portfolio value $2.88. They're not dead yet, but they're not learning either. High-frequency retail weather trading is a tax on impatience, and carrotset is paying it in real time.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru to see why tracking Polymarket leaderboards matters—sometimes top Polymarket traders teach you what NOT to do.
diversifiedRisk: medium