0xd21f...8570
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0xd21f...8570 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $670 PnL, $53.5K total volume, a 66.5% win rate, and activity across 3203 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
0xd21f51db7b352797d11d54b3ab0743e581a48570 POLYMARKET TRADER RUNS 154 TRADES PER DAY BUT WINS JUST 15% — HOW HIS NOISE FARMING STILL NETS $670.5 PNL
$670.5xd21f51db7b352797d11d54b3ab0743e581a48570 is a crypto bot classified Polymarket whale that executes 154.8 trades daily across 1,053 different markets with a brutal 66.5% win rate, yet somehow pulled $186,520 in total PnL over 450 closed positions. Rank 153,362 on the leaderboard — not headline grabbing, but the math inside this wallet is genuinely weird.
The strategy here screams high-frequency noise collection over prediction skill. Bot buys and sells in rapid sequences on ultra-short-duration markets like "Bitcoin Up or Down — April 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET" with average position size of $3.47. The buy-to-sell ratio sits at 1.88x, meaning this wallet is heavily weighted toward entries, not thesis-driven conviction. Polymarket wallet analytics show this Polymarket trader isn't hunting directional bets — he's farming the bid-ask spreads and exploiting micro-volatility windows that retail misses. ROI of 2.01% on $53.5K total volume traded sounds microscopic until you realize the daily machine is grinding. Average entry price 0.532 suggests he's consistently picking up contrarian positions others panic out of.
Best trade netted $6.67 on a single Bitcoin micro-market. Worst trade cost $12.18 on nearly the same market hours later. That spread — the asymmetry — is where the signal lives. A 66.5% win rate with positive PnL means position sizing is precisely calibrated. One bad exit can wipe six good ones; this wallet does the math first, gut second.
The risk here is real and lurking. Medium risk classification feels generous for a bot running 154 daily trades; execution slippage, market halts, or API delays on just one chain reaction of positions could obliterate a week's gains instantly. The wallet shows zero open positions now, but that's how bot traders operate — load, fire, exit, repeat. No cushion. Polymarket leaderboard watchers looking at this profile should see it as infrastructure arbitrage, not alpha prediction. Not everyone survives the drawdown when the spreads compress or volume dries up.
Check this wallet's recent activity on Predicts.guru or use a Polymarket wallet checker to spot the exact timestamp patterns where wins cluster — that's where the real edge hiding.
conservativeRisk: low