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cigarettes is a Polymarket wallet profile with $1.1M PnL, $501.9M total volume, a 69.2% win rate, and activity across 55818 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
cigarettes (0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9) Polymarket trader has turned $837K PnL on 2,712 trades in just 40 days — that's 67.6 trades per day, every single day, and a wallet that looks less like a retail degen and more like a market-making algorithm wearing a skin suit.
Rank #146 Polymarket whale. Bio empty. Wallet screaming. This is pure volume: 48,122 markets touched, $485M total volume, 52.27% win rate that doesn't sound crazy until you realize it's holding up across a portfolio with 2,262 open positions simultaneously. Not a specialist. Not a thesis trader. A machine that collects basis points across thousands of micro-positions. The trader type that makes retail traders wonder if they're playing a different game entirely.
Here's the edge hack: cigarettes doesn't hunt home runs. He hunts noise. With a 624 buy-to-sell ratio and an average entry price of $0.349, he's catching the bid-ask spread chaos, scalping the panic selling, and holding hundreds of positions for $100-150 each until sentiment shifts. Best trade grabbed $19K on Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?. Worst trade sat -$16K on Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals. Max drawdown is there. Doesn't matter when you're placing 67 bets a day.
What separates this from 99% Polymarket traders: infrastructure. Nobody manually enters 68 trades daily across 48,000 different markets with 52% accuracy. This smells like a bot pulling order book data, calculating micro-arbitrage windows, and executing faster than human fingers. The ROI reads flat (0.17%) because of sheer volume and tight margins — but compounded across 2,712 trades, $837K is $837K. That's not luck at that scale. That's math.
Currently holding 2,262 positions with $124K portfolio value. Open exposure is massive. One sharp market repricing — a Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?-style surprise across multiple markets — and the portfolio compresses hard. High risk. Always.
Track cigarettes' every move and check other top Polymarket traders on Predicts.guru Polymarket wallet analytics — this is what peak prediction market infrastructure looks like.
crypto botRisk: medium